College football, 2026 season, Week 10
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Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Box scores, advanced stats and anything else we can get our hands on, built into tables and charts to help you settle who's good and who's just lucky.
Week 10
Game of the week
The game to watch: the best matchup on the board, by how good both teams are and how close we think it'll be.
62% chance to win
- Notre Dame should throw it. Notre Dame is top-10 (4th) in EPA per pass, and Miami is middle of the pack (78th) in EPA per pass allowed.
Miami at Notre Dame
Picks
Picks and projected scores for every FBS game this week.
This week in charts
This week's games in charts, built on every game so far this season. They look a helluva lot better on their own pages, where you can tweak them and share them: copy the image, embed it or post it to X.
Games through Nov. 7. SP+ through Oct. 31's games, PRIME updated Nov. 7, AP poll Nov. 1.
Where the AP poll and SP+ rankings split.
No. 5 UCLA (9–0): 1st nationally in takeaways a game, 76th in giveaways a game.
Open the chart →James Madison (8–2, upset last week): 18th nationally in 2nd-half scoring margin, 5th in 1st-half scoring margin.
Open the chart →Malachi Toney, No. 1 Miami (Game of the week): 4th in explosive catches and 3rd in receiving yards among 741 receivers and tight ends.
Open the chart →Ohio State has played one game without Sayin and lost it by 12 (they won by 26 ppg with him). One game isn't enough to know yet.
Open the chart →No. 15 LSU (6–2, ranked matchup this week): 2nd nationally in stuff rate (defense), 1st in sack rate (generated).
Open the chart →Nolan James Jr., No. 4 Notre Dame (Game of the week): 9th in rushing success rate and 11th in Big Uglies rating for his line among 390 running backs.
Open the chart →No. 2 Georgia (7–1, ranked matchup this week): 5th nationally in explosive play rate, 9th in success rate.
Open the chart →Darian Mensah, No. 1 Miami (Game of the week): 3rd in yards per attempt and 1st in completion % among 185 quarterbacks.
Open the chart →Rankings
Our Top 25 after last week, and where we split from the AP and Coaches polls.
Miami is our No. 1: 5th in SP+, 6th in strength of record, and No. 1 in the AP poll. We like Oregon more than the voters do: our No. 19, unranked in the AP poll. They're 5–3, but 12th in SP+. We like BYU less: AP No. 7, our No. 12. The 7–1 record is better than the play behind it, which ranks 13th in SP+. Florida makes our 25 at 5–3 because they still rank 31st in SP+.
- 1Miami8–0
- 2Notre Dame7–1
- 3Indiana8–1
- 4Utah8–0
- 5Georgia7–1
- 6Alabama6–2
- 7UCLA8–0
- 8Texas6–2
- 9Kentucky7–1
- 10Ole Miss6–2
- 11LSU6–2
- 12BYU7–1
- 13Texas Tech7–1
- 14Wake Forest7–1
- 15Tennessee6–2
- 16Ohio State6–2
- 17Houston6–2
- 18Missouri6–2
- 19Oregon5–3
- 20USC7–2
- 21Arizona6–2
- 22Iowa6–2
- 23Boise State7–1
- 24Florida5–3
- 25Northwestern6–2
Higher than the polls: Oregon, LSU, Notre Dame, Alabama. Lower than the polls: Ohio State, BYU, Georgia, South Carolina.
Oregon ▲19NRNR
Ohio State ▼161110
BYU ▼1278
LSU ▲111515
Notre Dame ▲246
Georgia ▼522
Alabama ▲699
South Carolina ▼NR23NRPlayoff field
The 12-team field if the season ended today.
Miami, Notre Dame, Indiana and Utah get the byes. Boise State (7–1) takes the spot for the highest-ranked team outside the Power 4, as the 12 seed. The last team in is LSU; BYU is the first one out.
First-round byes1Miami 8–0, auto bid2Notre Dame 7–13Indiana 8–14Utah 8–0, auto bid First round, at the higher seed8Texas 6–2vs.9Kentucky 7–15Georgia 7–1, auto bidvs.12Boise State 7–1, auto bid6Alabama 6–2vs.11LSU 6–27UCLA 8–0, auto bidvs.10Ole Miss 6–2 Bubble: last four in are Texas, Kentucky, Ole Miss, LSU. First four out: BYU, Texas Tech, Wake Forest, Tennessee. This week's field, with the bracket and every seedWeek 9
Retro
Every pick, graded.
The week in charts
Last week's story, told with that week's games alone. Screenshot to end (or start) an argument in the group chat.
Troy beat James Madison 24–21: a 32% success rate to James Madison's 35%, and 13% of plays explosive to 10%.
Open the game →Week 9's breakout offenses: Oregon put up 9.5 yards a play, 3.3 over their average, and Utah State and Old Dominion weren't far behind. Georgia Tech fell 3.0 under their average.
Open the chart →Caden Veltkamp (Florida Atlantic) led Week 9 with 452 passing yards. Next was Noah Fifita with 417.
Open the chart →Texas Tech beat Arizona 34–26: a 48% success rate to Arizona's 33%, and 15% of plays explosive to 6%.
Open the game →Week 9's best days up front: Louisville's offensive line got 4.37 line yards per carry, 1.64 over its average. Western Kentucky and Old Dominion were next.
Open the chart →Utah had the best EPA per play in Week 9: 0.54, ahead of Liberty (0.53).
Open the chart →Aiden Flora (Iowa State) led Week 9 with 6 explosive runs (12+ yards). Next was Seth Cromwell with 5.
Open the chart →Georgia beat Florida 27–8: a 51% success rate to Florida's 30%, and 11% of plays explosive to 8%.
Open the game →4 teams played Week 9 without their starting quarterback. Troy played without Will Crowder and put up 5.3 yards a play, 0.7 under their average before that.
Open the chart →Easton Messer (Florida Atlantic) led Week 9 with 189 receiving yards. Next was Sean Wilson with 183.
Open the chart →Aiden Flora (Iowa State) led everyone in Week 9 with 221 rushing yards.
Open the chart →Boise State beat Texas State 46–45: a 46% success rate to Texas State's 45%, and 11% of plays explosive to 11%.
Open the game →Week 9's best defensive games against their own season: Sacramento State held their opponent to a 22.1% success rate, 16.3 points better than usual. NC State and South Florida were next.
Open the chart →Week 9's breakout passing days: Nick Minicucci (Delaware) threw for 414, 201 over his average. Dylan Raiola and Caden Veltkamp were next.
Open the chart →2026
Superlatives
The best, worst, luckiest and most overrated so far. Tap a tile to learn more.
Games through Nov. 7. SP+ through Oct. 31's games, PRIME updated Nov. 7, AP poll Nov. 1.
Hot and cold
Who's streaking and who's shitting the bed.
| Game | Result | Vs. SP+ | EPA | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10at NC State | W 38–14 | +13.4 | +0.24 | +46 |
| Oct 17at California | W 41–7 | +16.1 | +1.16 | +51 |
| Oct 31vs. Virginia | W 51–7 | +35.1 | +0.64 | +105 |
| Game | Result | Vs. SP+ | EPA | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23at Virginia | W 19–16 | +4.5 | +0.14 | +1 |
| Oct 31vs. Boston College | W 47–2 | +34.2 | +0.72 | +111 |
| Nov 7at NC State | W 41–3 | +32.8 | — | — |
| Game | Result | Vs. SP+ | EPA | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17at Rice | W 38–17 | +11.5 | +0.21 | +46 |
| Oct 23vs. Army | L 35–38 | −2.3 | +0.11 | +12 |
| Nov 7at Tulane | W 60–10 | +46.5 | — | +185 |
| Game | Result | Vs. SP+ | EPA | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24vs. UTSA | L 19–42 | −13.8 | +0.02 | −65 |
| Oct 30at Charlotte | W 38–31 | −7.7 | +0.05 | −20 |
| Nov 7vs. Tulsa | L 10–60 | −46.5 | — | −185 |
| Game | Result | Vs. SP+ | EPA | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17vs. Wake Forest | L 7–41 | −16.1 | −1.16 | −51 |
| Oct 24at SMU | L 20–59 | −14.9 | −0.35 | −60 |
| Oct 31at NC State | L 10–31 | −11.2 | −0.27 | −27 |
| Game | Result | Vs. SP+ | EPA | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10vs. Ole Miss | L 17–52 | −21.4 | −0.64 | −92 |
| Oct 17vs. Arkansas | L 21–31 | −11.5 | −0.17 | −33 |
| Oct 24at Kentucky | L 17–34 | −2.5 | −0.25 | −35 |
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College football, 2026 season
7,800+ ways to
troll your group chat / win an argument / outsmart your uncle / find alpha / expose a fraud / back up your hot take / win Thanksgiving
Receipts for every college football take.
Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Box scores, advanced stats and anything else we can get our hands on, built into tables and charts to help you settle who's good and who's just lucky.
Week 9
Game of the week
Picks
Picks and projected scores for every FBS game this week.
This week in charts
This week's games in charts, built on every game so far this season. They look a helluva lot better on their own pages, where you can tweak them and share them: copy the image, embed it or post it to X.
Where the AP poll and SP+ rankings split.
Rankings
Our Top 25 after last week, and where we split from the AP and Coaches polls.
Playoff field
The 12-team field if the season ended today.
Week 8
Retro
Every pick, graded.
The week in charts
Last week's story, told with that week's games alone. Screenshot to end (or start) an argument in the group chat.
2026
Superlatives
The best, worst, luckiest and most overrated so far. Tap a tile to learn more.
Hot and cold
Who's streaking and who's shitting the bed.
Make your own case
Everything you build can be saved as an image for the group chat.