This week's picks

Baylor vs. Auburn 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Baylor vs. Auburn, Week 1

Final: Baylor 16, Auburn 17. Elo pick: Auburn (correct).

Baylor and Auburn: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 1 game, graded.

Baylor vs. Auburn, Week 1: questions people ask

Who won Baylor vs. Auburn, and what was the score?

Auburn beat Baylor 17–16 on Sat, Sep 5 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Did Elo get Baylor vs. Auburn right?

Yes. Elo picked Auburn, 58% chance to win going in.

What decided Baylor vs. Auburn?

Auburn won with the lower success rate, 36% to Baylor's 43%. Auburn hit more big plays: 11% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 8%. Auburn turned it over 3 times to Baylor's 2.

Baylor vs. Auburn player stats: who had the big game?

D.J. Lagway (Baylor) threw for 333 yards, Dawson Pendergrass (Baylor) ran for 88 yards, and Gavin Freeman (Baylor) had 154 receiving yards.

What's the Auburn–Baylor series record now?

Auburn leads 3–2–1.