This week's picks

Fresno State vs. USC 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Fresno State at USC, Week 1

Final: Fresno State 0, USC 39. Elo pick: USC (correct).

Fresno State and USC: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 1 game, graded.

Fresno State at USC, Week 1: questions people ask

Who won Fresno State vs. USC, and what was the score?

USC beat Fresno State 39–0 on Fri, Sep 4 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

Did Elo get Fresno State at USC right?

Yes. Elo picked USC, 74% chance to win going in.

What decided Fresno State at USC?

USC had a 62% success rate to Fresno State's 28%. USC hit more big plays: 14% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 5%.

Fresno State vs. USC player stats: who had the big game?

Jayden Maiava (USC) threw for 635 yards, Waymond Jordan (USC) ran for 115 yards, and Trent Mosley (USC) had 222 receiving yards.

What's the Fresno State–USC series record now?

USC leads 6–1.