This week's picks

NC State vs. Virginia 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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NC State at Virginia, Week 1

Final: NC State 8, Virginia 34. Elo pick: Virginia (correct).

NC State and Virginia: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 1 game, graded.

NC State at Virginia, Week 1: questions people ask

Who won NC State vs. Virginia, and what was the score?

Virginia beat NC State 34–8 on Sat, Aug 29 at Scott Stadium.

Did Elo get NC State at Virginia right?

Yes. Elo picked Virginia, 73% chance to win going in.

What decided NC State at Virginia?

Virginia had a 50% success rate to NC State's 31%. Virginia hit more big plays: 12% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 6%. NC State turned it over twice to Virginia's 0.

NC State vs. Virginia player stats: who had the big game?

Beau Pribula (Virginia) threw for 155 yards, Beau Pribula (Virginia) ran for 120 yards, and Xavier Brown (Virginia) had 58 receiving yards.

What's the NC State–Virginia series record now?

NC State leads 38–23.