This week's picks

New Mexico State vs. Florida State 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
Site
Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

Share as an image

Image style

New Mexico State at Florida State, Week 1

Final: New Mexico State 17, Florida State 34. Elo pick: Florida State (correct).

New Mexico State and Florida State: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 1 game, graded.

New Mexico State at Florida State, Week 1: questions people ask

Who won New Mexico State vs. Florida State, and what was the score?

Florida State beat New Mexico State 34–17 on Sat, Aug 29 at Doak Campbell Stadium.

Did Elo get New Mexico State at Florida State right?

Yes. Elo picked Florida State, 92% chance to win going in.

What decided New Mexico State at Florida State?

Florida State won with the lower success rate, 39% to New Mexico State's 47%. New Mexico State hit more big plays: 15% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 10%.

New Mexico State vs. Florida State player stats: who had the big game?

Trey Hedden (New Mexico State) threw for 525 yards, Ousmane Kromah (Florida State) ran for 180 yards, and Tyler King (New Mexico State) had 172 receiving yards.

What's the Florida State–New Mexico State series record now?

Florida State leads 2–0.