This week's picks

North Carolina vs. TCU 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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North Carolina vs. TCU, Week 1

Final: North Carolina 15, TCU 10. Elo pick: TCU (missed).

North Carolina and TCU: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 1 game, graded.

North Carolina vs. TCU, Week 1: questions people ask

Who won North Carolina vs. TCU, and what was the score?

North Carolina beat TCU 15–10 on Sat, Aug 29 at Aviva Stadium.

Did Elo get North Carolina vs. TCU right?

No. Elo picked TCU, 69% chance to win going in. North Carolina won by 5.

What decided North Carolina vs. TCU?

North Carolina had a 43% success rate to TCU's 37%. North Carolina hit more big plays: 10% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 6%. North Carolina turned it over twice to TCU's 1.

North Carolina vs. TCU player stats: who had the big game?

Billy Edwards (North Carolina) threw for 232 yards, Jeremy Payne (TCU) ran for 127 yards, and Jelani Thurman (North Carolina) had 94 receiving yards.

What's the North Carolina–TCU series record now?

North Carolina leads 4–1.