This week's picks

San José State vs. USC 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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San José State at USC, Week 1

Final: San José State 26, USC 42. Elo pick: USC (correct).

San José State and USC: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 1 game, graded.

San José State at USC, Week 1: questions people ask

Who won San José State vs. USC, and what was the score?

USC beat San José State 42–26 on Sat, Aug 29 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

Did Elo get San José State at USC right?

Yes. Elo picked USC, 93% chance to win going in.

What decided San José State at USC?

USC had a 62% success rate to San José State's 41%. San José State hit more big plays: 15% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 14%. San José State turned it over 4 times to USC's 2.

San José State vs. USC player stats: who had the big game?

Jayden Maiava (USC) threw for 635 yards, Jabari Bates (San José State) ran for 149 yards, and Trent Mosley (USC) had 222 receiving yards.

What's the San José State–USC series record now?

USC leads 7–0.