This week's picks

Texas State vs. Texas 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Texas State at Texas, Week 1

Final: Texas State 7, Texas 59. Elo pick: Texas (correct).

Texas State and Texas: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 1 game, graded.

Texas State at Texas, Week 1: questions people ask

Who won Texas State vs. Texas, and what was the score?

Texas beat Texas State 59–7 on Sat, Sep 5 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.

Did Elo get Texas State at Texas right?

Yes. Elo picked Texas, 91% chance to win going in.

What decided Texas State at Texas?

Texas had a 46% success rate to Texas State's 42%. Texas hit more big plays: 17% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 11%. Texas State turned it over 3 times to Texas' 1.

Texas State vs. Texas player stats: who had the big game?

Arch Manning (Texas) threw for 305 yards, Daylan Smothers (Texas) ran for 70 yards, and Ryan Wingo (Texas) had 121 receiving yards.

What's the Texas–Texas State series record now?

Texas leads 2–0.