This week's picks

North Dakota State vs. Air Force 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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North Dakota State at Air Force, Week 2

Final: North Dakota State 38, Air Force 32. Elo pick: North Dakota State (correct).

North Dakota State and Air Force: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 2 game, graded.

North Dakota State at Air Force, Week 2: questions people ask

Who won North Dakota State vs. Air Force, and what was the score?

North Dakota State beat Air Force 38–32 on Sat, Sep 12 at Falcon Stadium.

Did Elo get North Dakota State at Air Force right?

Yes. Elo picked North Dakota State, 69% chance to win going in.

What decided North Dakota State at Air Force?

North Dakota State won with the lower success rate, 43% to Air Force's 46%. North Dakota State hit more big plays: 15% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 9%.

North Dakota State vs. Air Force player stats: who had the big game?

Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State) threw for 228 yards, Liam Szarka (Air Force) ran for 95 yards, and Matt Long (Air Force) had 55 receiving yards.

What's the Air Force–North Dakota State series record now?

North Dakota State leads 1–0.