This week's picks

Ball State vs. Liberty 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Ball State at Liberty, Week 3

Final: Ball State 15, Liberty 51. Elo pick: Liberty (correct).

Ball State and Liberty: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 3 game, graded.

Ball State at Liberty, Week 3: questions people ask

Who won Ball State vs. Liberty, and what was the score?

Liberty beat Ball State 51–15 on Sat, Sep 19 at Williams Stadium.

Did Elo get Ball State at Liberty right?

Yes. Elo picked Liberty, 99% chance to win going in.

What decided Ball State at Liberty?

Liberty had a 56% success rate to Ball State's 44%. Liberty hit more big plays: 20% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 9%.

Ball State vs. Liberty player stats: who had the big game?

Deshawn Purdie (Liberty) threw for 211 yards, TJ Horton (Ball State) ran for 66 yards, and Makai Jackson (Liberty) had 88 receiving yards.

Who didn't play in Ball State at Liberty?

Ball State played without Jabari Smith (top receiver).

What's the Ball State–Liberty series record now?

Liberty leads 2–0.