This week's picks

Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Nevada at Middle Tennessee, Week 3

Final: Nevada 20, Middle Tennessee 27. Elo pick: Nevada (missed).

Nevada and Middle Tennessee: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 3 game, graded.

Nevada at Middle Tennessee, Week 3: questions people ask

Who won Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee, and what was the score?

Middle Tennessee beat Nevada 27–20 on Sat, Sep 19 at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium.

Did Elo get Nevada at Middle Tennessee right?

No. Elo picked Nevada, 78% chance to win going in. Middle Tennessee won by 7.

What decided Nevada at Middle Tennessee?

Middle Tennessee had a 36% success rate to Nevada's 36%. Nevada hit more big plays: 9% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 7%. Nevada turned it over 3 times to Middle Tennessee's 0.

Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee player stats: who had the big game?

Carter Jones (Nevada) threw for 195 yards, Dominic Kelley (Nevada) ran for 45 yards, and Markus Allen (Middle Tennessee) had 65 receiving yards.

What's the Middle Tennessee–Nevada series record now?

Middle Tennessee leads 2–0.