This week's picks

Iowa vs. Michigan 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Iowa at Michigan, Week 4

Final: Iowa 20, Michigan 19. Elo pick: Iowa (correct).

Iowa and Michigan: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 4 game, graded.

Iowa at Michigan, Week 4: questions people ask

Who won Iowa vs. Michigan, and what was the score?

Iowa beat Michigan 20–19 on Sat, Sep 26 at Michigan Stadium.

Did Elo get Iowa at Michigan right?

Yes. Elo picked Iowa, 58% chance to win going in.

What decided Iowa at Michigan?

Iowa won with the lower success rate, 28% to Michigan's 50%. Michigan hit more big plays: 15% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 8%. Michigan turned it over once to Iowa's 0.

Iowa vs. Michigan player stats: who had the big game?

Bryce Underwood (Michigan) threw for 276 yards, Jordan Marshall (Michigan) ran for 59 yards, and JJ Buchanan (Michigan) had 130 receiving yards.

What's the Iowa–Michigan series record now?

Michigan leads 45–16–4.