This week's picks

San Diego State vs. Toledo 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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San Diego State at Toledo, Week 4

Final: San Diego State 16, Toledo 41. Elo pick: Toledo (correct).

San Diego State and Toledo: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 4 game, graded.

San Diego State at Toledo, Week 4: questions people ask

Who won San Diego State vs. Toledo, and what was the score?

Toledo beat San Diego State 41–16 on Sat, Sep 26 at Glass Bowl.

Did Elo get San Diego State at Toledo right?

Yes. Elo picked Toledo, 89% chance to win going in.

What decided San Diego State at Toledo?

Toledo had a 45% success rate to San Diego State's 33%. Toledo hit more big plays: 12% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 7%. San Diego State turned it over twice to Toledo's 0.

San Diego State vs. Toledo player stats: who had the big game?

John Alan Richter (Toledo) threw for 284 yards, Autavius Ison (Toledo) ran for 79 yards, and Bryson Hammer (Toledo) had 133 receiving yards.

Who didn't play in San Diego State at Toledo?

San Diego State played without Bert Emanuel Jr. (No. 2 receiver).

What's the San Diego State–Toledo series record now?

It's tied 1–1.