This week's picks

TCU vs. UCF 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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TCU at UCF, Week 4

Final: TCU 13, UCF 21. Elo pick: TCU (missed).

TCU and UCF: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 4 game, graded.

TCU at UCF, Week 4: questions people ask

Who won TCU vs. UCF, and what was the score?

UCF beat TCU 21–13 on Sat, Sep 26 at FBC Mortgage Stadium.

Did Elo get TCU at UCF right?

No. Elo picked TCU, 60% chance to win going in. UCF won by 8.

What decided TCU at UCF?

UCF had a 44% success rate to TCU's 39%. UCF hit more big plays: 8% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 6%. TCU turned it over 4 times to UCF's 2.

TCU vs. UCF player stats: who had the big game?

Jaden Craig (TCU) threw for 310 yards, Jeremy Payne (TCU) ran for 48 yards, and Jordan Dwyer (TCU) had 100 receiving yards.

Who didn't play in TCU at UCF?

UCF played without Alonza Barnett (starting QB).

What's the TCU–UCF series record now?

UCF leads 2–0.