This week's picks

Louisville vs. NC State 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Louisville at NC State, Week 5

Final: Louisville 28, NC State 31. Elo pick: Louisville (missed).

Louisville and NC State: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 5 game, graded.

Louisville at NC State, Week 5: questions people ask

Who won Louisville vs. NC State, and what was the score?

NC State beat Louisville 31–28 on Sat, Oct 3 at Carter-Finley Stadium.

Did Elo get Louisville at NC State right?

No. Elo picked Louisville, 75% chance to win going in. NC State won by 3.

What decided Louisville at NC State?

NC State had a 44% success rate to Louisville's 44%. Louisville hit more big plays: 23% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 14%. Louisville turned it over 3 times to NC State's 1.

Louisville vs. NC State player stats: who had the big game?

CJ Bailey (NC State) threw for 373 yards, Keyjuan Brown (Louisville) ran for 132 yards, and Tre Richardson (Louisville) had 117 receiving yards.

What's the Louisville–NC State series record now?

Louisville leads 9–5.