This week's picks

Toledo vs. Ball State 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Toledo at Ball State, Week 5

Final: Toledo 39, Ball State 24. Elo pick: Toledo (correct).

Toledo and Ball State: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 5 game, graded.

Toledo at Ball State, Week 5: questions people ask

Who won Toledo vs. Ball State, and what was the score?

Toledo beat Ball State 39–24 on Sat, Oct 3 at Scheumann Stadium.

Did Elo get Toledo at Ball State right?

Yes. Elo picked Toledo, 91% chance to win going in.

What decided Toledo at Ball State?

Toledo had a 46% success rate to Ball State's 36%. Toledo hit more big plays: 16% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 11%. Ball State turned it over twice to Toledo's 0.

Toledo vs. Ball State player stats: who had the big game?

Keldric Luster (Ball State) threw for 244 yards, CJ Miller (Toledo) ran for 196 yards, and Adjatay Dabbs (Toledo) had 90 receiving yards.

What's the Ball State–Toledo series record now?

Toledo leads 29–21–1.