This week's picks

Western Michigan vs. Buffalo 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Western Michigan at Buffalo, Week 5

Final: Western Michigan 20, Buffalo 17. Elo pick: Western Michigan (correct).

Western Michigan and Buffalo: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 5 game, graded.

Western Michigan at Buffalo, Week 5: questions people ask

Who won Western Michigan vs. Buffalo, and what was the score?

Western Michigan beat Buffalo 20–17 on Sat, Oct 3 at UB Stadium.

Did Elo get Western Michigan at Buffalo right?

Yes. Elo picked Western Michigan, 59% chance to win going in.

What decided Western Michigan at Buffalo?

Western Michigan had a 53% success rate to Buffalo's 40%. Buffalo hit more big plays: 9% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 5%.

Western Michigan vs. Buffalo player stats: who had the big game?

Broc Lowry (Western Michigan) threw for 212 yards, Messiah Burch (Buffalo) ran for 106 yards, and Chance Morrow (Buffalo) had 90 receiving yards.

What's the Buffalo–Western Michigan series record now?

Western Michigan leads 10–2.