This week's picks

Western Michigan vs. Toledo 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Western Michigan at Toledo, Week 8

Final: Western Michigan 38, Toledo 45. The numbers' pick: Toledo (correct). SP+ had Toledo by 3.6, 60% to win.

Western Michigan and Toledo: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 8 game, graded.

Western Michigan at Toledo, Week 8: questions people ask

Who won Western Michigan vs. Toledo, and what was the score?

Toledo beat Western Michigan 45–38 on Sat, Oct 24 at Glass Bowl.

Did the numbers get Western Michigan at Toledo right?

Yes. The numbers picked Toledo, 63% chance to win going in. All 3 ratings had Toledo.

What decided Western Michigan at Toledo?

Toledo had a 48% success rate to Western Michigan's 42%. Western Michigan hit more big plays: 17% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 13%. Western Michigan turned it over 3 times to Toledo's 2.

Western Michigan vs. Toledo player stats: who had the big game?

John Alan Richter (Toledo) threw for 391 yards, CJ Miller (Toledo) ran for 183 yards, and Adjatay Dabbs (Toledo) had 124 receiving yards.

What's the Toledo–Western Michigan series record now?

Toledo leads 40–24.