College football, 2026 season
Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Find out who's good, who's lucky and who's paying for it. Then use box scores, advanced stats and anything else we could get our hands on to build charts that support your takes.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
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Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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Last updated October 26, 2026.
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Last updated October 30, 2026.
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College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
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Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.
Kent State at Sacramento State
Week 9, Fri, Oct 30, 10:30 PM ET, Hornet Stadium.
The numbers say: Kent State, 60% to win.
| Kickoff | Fri, Oct 30, 10:30 PM ET |
|---|---|
| TV | ESPN2 |
| Where | Hornet Stadium |
| Weather | 62°, cloudy, wind 3 mph |
| Line | Kent State −7, total 46.5 |
| Line movement | Opened Kent State −9.5; moved 2.5 points toward Sacramento State. Total opened 45.5, up 1. |
| Series | First meeting |
| Margin | Win chance | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ | Kent State by 5.3 | 65% | 44 |
| PRIME | Kent State by 10.7 | 78% | |
| Elo | Sacramento State | 52% | |
| The line | Kent State −7, opened −9.5 | 46.5, opened 45.5 |
Margins include home field. SP+ is Bill Connelly's rating; Sources has PRIME and Elo. Line and total from DraftKings, as of Fri, Oct 30, 7:43 PM ET.
The numbers say: Kent State. 63% chance to win
SP+ and PRIME take Kent State, but Elo has Sacramento State. Kent State's best matchup is its run defense, 77th in EPA per rush allowed, against Sacramento State's run game at 136th. Sacramento State's way back in is its early-down defense, 47th in SUPLEX allowed, against Kent State's early-down offense at 133rd.
Each chart puts all 138 FBS teams on two stats; Kent State and Sacramento State are lit. Dashed lines are the FBS averages, and up and right is better. Ranks in parentheses. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
The scatter charts show the top 40 FBS players at the position by both stats combined, plus the players lit here. Dashed lines are the averages; up and right is better. Ranks are among every FBS player at the position with enough snaps. Takeaways are interceptions plus fumble recoveries. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
On a neutral field, SP+ has Kent State 7.8 points better (132nd to 138th). PRIME also has Kent State ahead, by 13.2. Elo, which only sees results, also has Kent State ahead (134th to 137th).
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | -21.3 (132nd) | -29.1 (138th) |
| SP+ offense | 13.1 (136th) | 10.4 (138th) |
| SP+ defense | 33.7 (119th) | 39.2 (137th) |
| SP+ special teams | -0.6 (131st) | -0.4 (113th) |
| PRIME net | -16.8 (131st) | -30.0 (138th) |
| PRIME offense | -9.27 (129th) | -16.26 (138th) |
| PRIME defense | -6.51 (117th) | -13.36 (136th) |
| PRIME SOS | -3.4 (76th) | -9.1 (129th) |
| PRIME SOR | -1.7 (112th) | -4.7 (138th) |
| Elo | 1026 (134th) | 986 (137th) |
Opponent-adjusted power ratings. These drive the projection.
Kent State's offense ranks 136th in adjusted EPA per play, and the Sacramento State defense it faces ranks 124th in EPA per play allowed. Sacramento State's offense ranks 137th against Kent State's 110th-ranked defense. Neither side of the ball has a clear edge. The biggest edge on the board is Kent State's big plays: 83rd in adjusted explosiveness, against Sacramento State's 130th-ranked defense. Adjust for opponents and Kent State's defense falls from 84th to 110th in EPA per play allowed: a lot of that came against soft offenses.
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play (adjusted) | −0.03 (136th) | −0.07 (137th) |
| EPA per pass (adjusted) | +0.12 (115th) | +0.03 (135th) |
| EPA per rush (adjusted) | −0.06 (137th) | −0.06 (136th) |
| Success rate (adjusted) | 33.9% (136th) | 36.7% (127th) |
| Success rate, standard downs (adjusted) | 40.8% (136th) | 45.1% (100th) |
| Success rate, passing downs (adjusted) | 27.4% (125th) | 25.3% (136th) |
| Explosiveness (adjusted) | 0.93 (83rd) | 0.88 (134th) |
| Line yards per carry (adjusted) | 2.62 (135th) | 2.69 (130th) |
| Open-field yards per carry (adjusted) | 0.87 (134th) | 1.05 (94th) |
| EPA per play allowed (adjusted) | +0.17 (110th) | +0.20 (124th) |
| EPA per pass allowed (adjusted) | +0.26 (111th) | +0.30 (128th) |
| EPA per rush allowed (adjusted) | +0.07 (77th) | +0.13 (116th) |
| Success rate allowed (adjusted) | 46.4% (120th) | 44.1% (101st) |
| Explosiveness allowed (adjusted) | 0.93 (53rd) | 0.98 (130th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 3.02 (90th) | 3.14 (119th) |
| Open-field yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 1.11 (63rd) | 1.28 (107th) |
The same efficiency numbers, adjusted for the offenses and defenses each team has faced (CollegeFootballData.com). A good number against a soft schedule shrinks; one against a hard schedule grows.
Kent State is better throwing (87th in EPA per pass) than running (130th). Sacramento State's pass defense ranks 125th, so that's an edge. Sacramento State is about as good throwing (126th in EPA per pass) as running (137th).
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | −0.01 (124th) | −0.11 (137th) |
| EPA per pass | +0.17 (87th) | −0.01 (126th) |
| EPA per rush | −0.11 (130th) | −0.19 (137th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play | +0.42 (84th) | +0.09 (132nd) |
| EPA per play allowed | +0.11 (84th) | +0.19 (115th) |
| EPA per pass allowed | +0.18 (72nd) | +0.38 (125th) |
| EPA per rush allowed | +0.06 (66th) | +0.12 (94th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play allowed | +0.32 (46th) | +0.46 (94th) |
Expected points added per play, from CollegeFootballData.com. EPA measures how much each play changes the points a team can expect from the drive. Zero is break-even; +0.20 is very good. Not adjusted for opponents.
Kent State is outscored by 15.6 a game, and Sacramento State is outscored by 17.7. Kent State's offense ranks 137th in scoring, and the Sacramento State defense it faces ranks 126th in points allowed. Sacramento State's offense ranks 134th against Kent State's 115th-ranked defense. Neither side of the ball has a clear edge.
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 14.9 (137th) | 15.2 (134th) |
| Points allowed | 30.5 (115th) | 32.9 (126th) |
Per game, FBS opponents only.
Kent State has no clear edge here. Its best is 3rd down conversion rate, 122nd, against a defense ranked 75th in 3rd down conversions allowed. Sacramento State's best matchup is staying on schedule: its offense ranks 69th in success rate, and Kent State's defense ranks 137th in success rate allowed. That's a mismatch.
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards / game | 185.7 (111th) | 196.1 (102nd) |
| Rush yards / game | 105.0 (132nd) | 118.0 (127th) |
| Yards per play | 4.67 (133rd) | 5.83 (93rd) |
| Yards per carry | 3.53 (134th) | 4.61 (111th) |
| Yards per attempt | 6.05 (121st) | 7.30 (84th) |
| Completion % | 52.6% (118th) | 70.7% (26th) |
| Success rate | 33.5% (133rd) | 43.8% (69th) |
| Explosive play rate | 8.0% (132nd) | 9.6% (119th) |
| 3rd down conversion | 32.4% (122nd) | 36.8% (90th) |
| Sack rate (taken) | 5.7% (75th) | 5.1% (60th) |
| INT rate (thrown) | 3.3% (104th) | 3.2% (101st) |
| SUPLEX | 43.0% (133rd) | 48.4% (122nd) |
Per game and per play, from play-by-play.
Kent State's defense is best placed to pick off passes: it ranks 42nd in interception rate, and Sacramento State's offense is bottom-40 at avoiding interceptions (101st). Sacramento State's defense is best placed to win on early downs: it ranks 47th in SUPLEX allowed, and Kent State's offense is bottom-20 in SUPLEX (133rd). That's a mismatch.
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards allowed / game | 217.3 (83rd) | 206.7 (61st) |
| Rush yards allowed / game | 174.1 (100th) | 161.7 (89th) |
| Yards per play allowed | 7.01 (125th) | 5.90 (79th) |
| Yards per carry allowed | 5.49 (108th) | 5.03 (83rd) |
| Yards per attempt allowed | 9.69 (134th) | 7.02 (69th) |
| Success rate allowed | 51.4% (137th) | 38.7% (49th) |
| Explosive plays allowed | 14.1% (117th) | 11.0% (71st) |
| 3rd downs allowed | 47.6% (128th) | 39.0% (75th) |
| Sack rate (generated) | 7.1% (48th) | 2.8% (133rd) |
| INT rate (generated) | 3.2% (42nd) | 1.5% (109th) |
| SUPLEX allowed | 64.2% (133rd) | 51.0% (47th) |
What opponents managed against them.
Kent State has the better number in 8 of 12. The biggest gap is front-seven havoc, where Kent State ranks 54th and Sacramento State 129th.
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 38.9 (133rd) | 40.2 (130th) |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 49.3 (72nd) | 39.8 (125th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.45 (133rd) | 2.38 (135th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry | 3.23 (118th) | 3.36 (127th) |
| Second-level yards per carry | 0.75 (134th) | 0.86 (126th) |
| Open-field yards per carry | 0.52 (133rd) | 0.73 (121st) |
| Stuff rate (runs stopped at or behind the line) | 22.0% (120th) | 27.3% (137th) |
| Stuff rate (defense) | 15.2% (113th) | 13.4% (128th) |
| Power success (short yardage) | 55.6% (136th) | 71.0% (79th) |
| Power success allowed | 62.9% (26th) | 65.2% (34th) |
| Front-seven havoc allowed | 9.1% (70th) | 9.5% (84th) |
| Front-seven havoc | 10.2% (54th) | 6.8% (129th) |
The lines. Big Uglies is our rating for each offensive line and each defensive front: adjusted line yards (30%), stuff rate (20%), power success (15%), sack rate (20%) and front-seven havoc (15%), against every FBS team. 50 is average, and every 10 points is a standard deviation. Line stats from CollegeFootballData.com, garbage time out.
Kent State is −0.5 in turnover margin a game and Sacramento State is −1.1. At about five points a turnover, that's roughly a 3-point edge for Kent State. Turnover margin rarely holds from one month to the next, so don't count on it.
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions thrown / game | 0.88 (101st) | 0.86 (84th) |
| Fumbles lost / game | 0.63 (89th) | 0.86 (116th) |
| Giveaways / game | 1.50 (101st) | 1.71 (117th) |
| Interceptions / game | 0.63 (78th) | 0.43 (105th) |
| Fumbles recovered / game | 0.38 (89th) | 0.14 (121st) |
| Takeaways / game | 1.00 (88th) | 0.57 (126th) |
| Turnover margin / game | -0.5 (103rd) | -1.1 (131st) |
Per game, from play-by-play.
Sacramento State has the more talented roster (114th in the 247Sports talent composite; Kent State is 130th). But Kent State plays further above its talent: −12.5 points of SP+ beyond what its roster predicts, to Sacramento State's −22.7.
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| Talent composite | 522.8 (130th) | 561.4 (114th) |
| Blue-chip ratio | 1.5% (123rd) | 4.2% (101st) |
| Players on roster | 111 (67th) | 116 (34th) |
| Rated by 247Sports | 68 (103rd) | 72 (90th) |
| 5-star players | 0 (37th) | 0 (37th) |
| 4-star players | 1 (119th) | 3 (94th) |
| 3-star players | 57 (86th) | 61 (66th) |
| Below 3-star | 10 (4th) | 8 (8th) |
| 2026 transfers in | 17 (103rd) | 28 (41st) |
| Transfer share | 25.0% (88th) | 38.9% (35th) |
| SP+ vs. talent | -12.5 (129th) | -22.7 (138th) |
| Returning production | 64.1% (36th) | — () |
| Returning passing production | 103.2% (6th) | — () |
| Returning rushing production | 75.8% (45th) | — () |
| Returning receiving production | 45.2% (54th) | — () |
| 2026 recruiting class (national rank) | 122 (122nd) | 125 (125th) |
| Recruiting rank, last four classes | 108.8 (113th) | 131.2 (130th) |
247Sports team talent composite and 2026 transfer portal class. Star counts cover only the players 247Sports rates, not walk-ons, so they add up to less than the full roster. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams.
Kent State is −1.0 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is coaching (−1.4). Sacramento State is −3.0 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is coaching (−3.4).
| Kent State | Sacramento State | |
|---|---|---|
| RECEIPTS (total) | -1.0 (109th) | -3.0 (134th) |
| Schedule RECEIPTS | +0.7 (62nd) | +1.8 (9th) |
| Roster RECEIPTS | -0.8 (119th) | -0.8 (116th) |
| Coach RECEIPTS | -1.4 (123rd) | -3.4 (138th) |
| Luck RECEIPTS | +0.6 (32nd) | -0.7 (109th) |
Where the wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. Then each win (or loss) goes to the schedule, the roster, the coaching or luck, and the four add up to the real record. Wins above or below a .500 team.
The numbers pick Kent State, 63% chance to win. SP+ and PRIME agree; Elo has Sacramento State. Kent State's best matchup is its run defense, 77th in EPA per rush allowed, against Sacramento State's run game at 136th.
Fri, Oct 30, 10:30 PM ET at Hornet Stadium. It's on ESPN2.
SP+ projects Kent State 25–19. That's from this season's SP+ offense, defense and special teams ratings, with home field worth 2.5 points.
DraftKings has Kent State −7, total 46.5. The numbers pick winners, not bets.
This is the first meeting.
Kent State: Dru Deshields (1,454 passing yards), Brandon White (235 rushing yards) and Wayne Harris (539 receiving yards). Sacramento State: Jackson Sharman (1,270 passing yards), Isaiah Ene (303 rushing yards) and Matthew Coleman (492 receiving yards). Season totals through Oct 24, 2026.
Kent State's is Dru Deshields (1,454 passing yards this season); Sacramento State's is Jackson Sharman (1,270 passing yards this season).
Numbers through the games of Oct 24, 2026. SP+ as of Oct 27, 2026. Updated every week.
Kent State and Sacramento State: team pages with every stat and national rank. Compare any two teams.