College football, 2026 season
Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Find out who's good, who's lucky and who's paying for it. Then use box scores, advanced stats and anything else we could get our hands on to build charts that support your takes.
Picks and projected scores for every FBS game this week.
This week's games in charts, built on every game so far this season. They look a helluva lot better on their own pages, where you can tweak them and share them: copy the image, embed it or post it to X.
Every pick, graded.
Our Top 25 after last week, and where we split from the AP and Coaches polls.
The 12-team field if the season ended today.
Last week's story, told with that week's games alone. Screenshot to end (or start) an argument in the group chat.
The best, worst, luckiest and most overrated so far. Tap a tile to learn more.
Who's streaking and who's shitting the bed.
Everything you build can be saved as an image for the group chat.
Drag a team by its handle (⋮⋮) to move it; with a keyboard, focus the handle and use the up and down arrow keys. To put a different team in a spot, pick it from that row's menu; if it's already ranked somewhere else, the two trade places. Your ranking is saved in this browser.
About
Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
| DraftKings lines (via The Odds API and CollegeFootballData.com) | The line and total on each game, and where each opened | Every morning, and before kickoffs Thursday to Saturday |
| Team logos and colors (ESPN's, via CollegeFootballData.com) | The logos on charts, game cards and team pages. They belong to the schools and are used only to identify the teams. | Preseason |
| SP+ by Bill Connelly (CFB Update) | Overall, offense, defense and special teams ratings | Weekly |
| PRIME (primecfb.com) | Net, offense, defense and special teams ratings, strength of schedule, strength of record | Weekly |
| AP Top 25 (via NCAA.com) | Rankings and points, including others receiving votes | Sunday afternoons |
| AFCA Coaches Poll (via Yahoo Sports, CBS Sports, SI) | Rankings and points, including others receiving votes | Sundays |
| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
| us-atlas (U.S. Census Bureau boundaries) | State shapes for the map | Once |
Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
About
Every stat and term on the site, explained like you're five. Or like you're a grown adult who never asked what EPA means and is now too embarrassed to.
What the numbers on team pages, charts and head to head mean.
How the picks, tiers and projections work. The full method is on Sources and methods.
Who's who and how the 12-team field works.
Nothing matches that. Try a shorter word.
For where the numbers come from and the exact math, see Sources and methods. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
About
Last updated October 26, 2026.
This is a free site for fun and information. Use it, share it, argue with it, but don't treat it as a promise about Saturday.
College Football Charts publishes college football statistics, projections and opinions. Everything here is for information and entertainment. Projections and picks are estimates from public data and can be wrong, sometimes badly.
Nothing on this site is advice to place a bet. If you choose to bet, you're responsible for following the laws where you live, and you must be of legal age. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Our numbers come from the sources listed on the Sources and methods page and from our own calculations. We try to keep them accurate and current, but we can't guarantee that every number is complete, correct or up to date.
You're welcome to share images you make with the share tools and to link to any page. Please keep the College Football Charts credit on shared images. Team and school names belong to their owners; we use them only to identify teams.
Please don't overload the site, try to break it, or copy the whole thing to republish as your own.
The site is provided as is. To the extent the law allows, we aren't liable for losses that come from using it or relying on it.
We may update these terms as the site grows. The date at the top shows the latest version.
About
Last updated October 30, 2026.
There are no accounts and no ad trackers. The only personal information we collect is what you choose to give us: your email address if you sign up for the newsletter, and whatever you put in the contact form.
The site remembers a few choices in your browser's local storage so they're there next time: the teams you last compared, your filters and chart settings, and any Top 25 you build. That information stays in your browser. It isn't sent to us, and you can clear it any time by clearing your browser's site data.
Images you make with the share tools are created in your browser. If you use Post on X, we upload that one image so X can show it with your post's link. It stays at that link, with the chart's title and address and nothing about you, for 90 days, then it's deleted. Copy image, Save image and Embed upload nothing.
When you sign up for the newsletter, your email address goes to Beehiiv, the service that sends it. We use it only to send the newsletter. Every issue has an unsubscribe link, and unsubscribing removes you from the list.
When you send a message through the contact page, we keep it, with the email address and name you give us, so we can answer it. It's emailed to us and stored on Cloudflare. We don't add you to the newsletter or share it with anyone. Ask us and we'll delete it.
When you ask for a chart, your question goes to Anthropic's Claude, which picks the chart's settings. We keep the question for 180 days, without your IP address, to see which charts people want and fix the ones the box gets wrong. Email addresses and phone numbers typed into a question are blanked out before it's saved.
Our host, Cloudflare, keeps standard server logs, such as IP addresses and the pages requested, to run and protect the site. We count visits with Cloudflare Web Analytics, which doesn't use cookies or track you across sites.
There are no ads on the site yet. When we add them, the ad network and its partners may use cookies and similar tools to show ads and measure them, and we'll name them here, update the date at the top and, where the law requires it, ask before any of that runs.
The site isn't directed at children under 13, and we don't knowingly collect information from them.
If this policy changes, we'll update the date at the top.
About
College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
The numbers. Every pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor, and nobody overrides them. When they miss, the retro says so and by how much.
We don't make the ratings; we put them side by side. SP+ is Bill Connelly's. SUPLEX is Nate Tice's. The play-by-play comes from CollegeFootballData.com and cfbfastR. The full list, and how we turn it into picks, is on Sources and methods.
Betting advice. The line shows up because it's part of the story of a game, not because we want you to bet it.
Questions, a stat you want to see, a bug, or a partnership idea: send us a note. The newsletter has the picks and the retro every week.
About
Questions, ideas, bugs, partnerships: they all come here.
We use what you send only to answer it. See the privacy policy.
Drag a team by its handle (⋮⋮) to reseed it; with a keyboard, focus the handle and use the up and down arrow keys. Pick a different team from a row's menu to swap it in. Your field is saved in this browser.
The first issue is coming soon.
Up to 40 characters each. Leave one blank to keep ours. Your labels ride along in the link, the embed and the share image.
Projected scores come from SP+ offense, defense and special teams, plus 2.5 points for the home team. Cards also show DraftKings' line and total as facts: we pick winners, not bets. Open Details for the full read, or Head to head for every stat.
Final scores against what we said before kickoff. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favored. Ranked means in that week's AP poll. Open a game for the full preview as it stood going into the week.
Straight-up picks: did the pick win? The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor. The numbers' and SP+ picks start in Week 8; Elo picks go back to Week 1.
Each column is that week's ranking. Arrows compare the latest poll to the week before. NR means not ranked.
Rankings come from cfbtrack.com. Week 1 is the preseason poll; each later week is the poll released before that week's games.
Up to 40 characters each. Leave one blank to keep ours. Your labels ride along in the link, the embed and the share image.
SP+ vs. payroll is the average, across a conference's teams with an NIL valuation (positive means its teams play better than their payrolls predict). Blue-chip ratio is the share of all its rostered players who were 4- or 5-star recruits.
Ranks are national, out of 138 FBS teams. A top-10 team also counts toward the top 25 and top 40, and everyone outside the last cutoff counts as weak. Open a conference to see its teams.
Seeds 1–4 get first-round byes. Seeds 5–8 host the first round.
The columns on the right show where each team would be seeded under the other ratings. A dash means out.
How we picked it
Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.
Where the game is won
Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.
Injuries and availability
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
The teams in charts
The players in charts
FAQ
Keep going
Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.
Week 9, Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET, Carter-Finley Stadium.
The numbers say: NC State, 77% to win.
| Kickoff | Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| TV | ACC Network |
| Where | Carter-Finley Stadium |
| Weather | 66°, cloudy, wind 8 mph |
| Line | NC State −9.5, total 56.5 |
| Line movement | Opened NC State −8.5; moved 1 point toward NC State. |
| Series | NC State leads 1–0 |
| Last meeting | NC State 24–23 in 2024 |
| Margin | Win chance | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ | NC State by 9.8 | 76% | 62 |
| PRIME | NC State by 9.7 | 76% | |
| Elo | NC State | 84% | |
| The line | NC State −9.5, opened −8.5 | 56.5 |
Margins include home field. SP+ is Bill Connelly's rating; Sources has PRIME and Elo. Line and total from DraftKings, as of Fri, Oct 30, 7:43 PM ET.
The numbers say: NC State. 78% chance to win
All three ratings favor NC State, by 9.7 to 9.8 points. NC State's best matchup is its run game, 58th in yards per carry, against California's run defense at 132nd. California's way back in is its pass protection, 23rd in sacks allowed per dropback, against NC State's pass rush at 93rd.
Each chart puts all 138 FBS teams on two stats; California and NC State are lit. Dashed lines are the FBS averages, and up and right is better. Ranks in parentheses. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
The scatter charts show the top 40 FBS players at the position by both stats combined, plus the players lit here. Dashed lines are the averages; up and right is better. Ranks are among every FBS player at the position with enough snaps. Takeaways are interceptions plus fumble recoveries. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
On a neutral field, SP+ has NC State 7.3 points better (74th to 101st). PRIME also has NC State ahead, by 7.2. Elo, which only sees results, also has NC State ahead (75th to 118th).
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | -8.2 (101st) | -0.9 (74th) |
| SP+ offense | 22.8 (101st) | 30.0 (46th) |
| SP+ defense | 30.5 (103rd) | 31.0 (107th) |
| SP+ special teams | -0.5 (124th) | 0.1 (54th) |
| PRIME net | -10.2 (109th) | -3.0 (85th) |
| PRIME offense | -6.44 (111th) | 2.33 (43rd) |
| PRIME defense | -3.56 (100th) | -6.03 (113th) |
| PRIME SOS | 1.7 (29th) | -0.5 (48th) |
| PRIME SOR | -0.7 (89th) | -0.6 (85th) |
| Elo | 1236 (118th) | 1465 (75th) |
Opponent-adjusted power ratings. These drive the projection.
California's offense ranks 131st in adjusted EPA per play, and the NC State defense it faces ranks 121st in EPA per play allowed. NC State's offense ranks 70th against California's 117th-ranked defense. The matchup that decides it is NC State's offense against California's defense. The biggest edge on the board is NC State's passing game: 38th in adjusted EPA per pass, against California's 77th-ranked defense. Adjust for opponents and NC State's offense falls from 30th to 70th in EPA per play: a lot of that came against soft defenses.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play (adjusted) | −0.00 (131st) | +0.10 (70th) |
| EPA per pass (adjusted) | +0.11 (121st) | +0.23 (38th) |
| EPA per rush (adjusted) | −0.02 (127th) | +0.00 (124th) |
| Success rate (adjusted) | 37.4% (122nd) | 41.1% (77th) |
| Success rate, standard downs (adjusted) | 42.6% (130th) | 45.1% (98th) |
| Success rate, passing downs (adjusted) | 28.8% (105th) | 33.0% (22nd) |
| Explosiveness (adjusted) | 0.93 (87th) | 0.91 (126th) |
| Line yards per carry (adjusted) | 2.63 (133rd) | 2.85 (103rd) |
| Open-field yards per carry (adjusted) | 0.89 (129th) | 0.96 (121st) |
| EPA per play allowed (adjusted) | +0.18 (117th) | +0.20 (121st) |
| EPA per pass allowed (adjusted) | +0.21 (77th) | +0.32 (130th) |
| EPA per rush allowed (adjusted) | +0.18 (135th) | +0.10 (102nd) |
| Success rate allowed (adjusted) | 41.1% (56th) | 44.9% (108th) |
| Explosiveness allowed (adjusted) | 0.99 (134th) | 0.96 (113th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 3.20 (127th) | 2.98 (76th) |
| Open-field yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 1.46 (132nd) | 1.30 (111th) |
The same efficiency numbers, adjusted for the offenses and defenses each team has faced (CollegeFootballData.com). A good number against a soft schedule shrinks; one against a hard schedule grows.
California is better throwing (113th in EPA per pass) than running (128th). NC State's pass defense ranks 130th. NC State is better throwing (12th in EPA per pass) than running (103rd). California's pass defense ranks 72nd, so that's a mismatch. On third down, NC State has the edge: its offense ranks 3rd in EPA per third-down play, and the defense it faces ranks 97th.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | −0.02 (125th) | +0.22 (30th) |
| EPA per pass | +0.08 (113th) | +0.44 (12th) |
| EPA per rush | −0.06 (128th) | +0.02 (103rd) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play | +0.44 (76th) | +0.88 (3rd) |
| EPA per play allowed | +0.18 (112th) | +0.23 (120th) |
| EPA per pass allowed | +0.18 (72nd) | +0.41 (130th) |
| EPA per rush allowed | +0.28 (133rd) | +0.12 (94th) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play allowed | +0.48 (97th) | +0.34 (50th) |
Expected points added per play, from CollegeFootballData.com. EPA measures how much each play changes the points a team can expect from the drive. Zero is break-even; +0.20 is very good. Not adjusted for opponents.
California is outscored by 8.2 a game, and NC State by 4.2. California's offense ranks 101st in scoring, and the NC State defense it faces ranks 105th in points allowed. NC State's offense ranks 46th against California's 119th-ranked defense. The matchup that decides it is NC State's offense against California's defense.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 23.4 (101st) | 32.3 (46th) |
| Points allowed | 31.6 (119th) | 28.1 (105th) |
Per game, FBS opponents only.
California has no clear edge here. Its best is explosive play rate, 128th, against a defense ranked 136th in explosive plays allowed. NC State's best matchup is its run game: its offense ranks 58th in yards per carry, and California's defense ranks 132nd in yards per carry allowed. That's a mismatch.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards / game | 295.0 (13th) | 261.8 (39th) |
| Rush yards / game | 93.0 (134th) | 168.5 (65th) |
| Yards per play | 5.20 (124th) | 6.06 (76th) |
| Yards per carry | 3.68 (133rd) | 5.32 (58th) |
| Yards per attempt | 6.18 (117th) | 6.98 (95th) |
| Completion % | 59.2% (88th) | 58.2% (93rd) |
| Success rate | 36.4% (130th) | 43.2% (76th) |
| Explosive play rate | 9.0% (128th) | 11.5% (87th) |
| 3rd down conversion | 34.1% (109th) | 45.6% (34th) |
| Sack rate (taken) | 3.3% (23rd) | 4.7% (45th) |
| INT rate (thrown) | 1.3% (29th) | 1.3% (30th) |
| SUPLEX | 45.1% (128th) | 54.2% (84th) |
Per game and per play, from play-by-play.
Neither defense ranks 25 spots ahead of the offense it faces in any of these, so expect both offenses to look like themselves.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards allowed / game | 215.0 (74th) | 226.2 (96th) |
| Rush yards allowed / game | 177.3 (104th) | 169.8 (96th) |
| Yards per play allowed | 7.20 (131st) | 7.05 (127th) |
| Yards per carry allowed | 6.11 (132nd) | 5.66 (116th) |
| Yards per attempt allowed | 9.01 (121st) | 9.11 (122nd) |
| Success rate allowed | 44.5% (95th) | 47.5% (120th) |
| Explosive plays allowed | 15.8% (134th) | 16.6% (136th) |
| 3rd downs allowed | 44.1% (108th) | 40.9% (89th) |
| Sack rate (generated) | 6.4% (64th) | 5.1% (93rd) |
| INT rate (generated) | 3.7% (26th) | 2.0% (82nd) |
| SUPLEX allowed | 56.5% (85th) | 66.3% (136th) |
What opponents managed against them.
NC State has the better number in 11 of 12. The biggest gap is stuff rate (defense), where NC State ranks 40th and California 127th.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 39.3 (132nd) | 49.7 (77th) |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 39.7 (126th) | 47.0 (89th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.43 (134th) | 2.82 (106th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry | 3.32 (124th) | 2.99 (81st) |
| Second-level yards per carry | 0.92 (114th) | 0.90 (124th) |
| Open-field yards per carry | 0.53 (131st) | 1.07 (82nd) |
| Stuff rate (runs stopped at or behind the line) | 23.0% (126th) | 18.5% (85th) |
| Stuff rate (defense) | 13.5% (127th) | 20.9% (40th) |
| Power success (short yardage) | 56.5% (134th) | 75.8% (48th) |
| Power success allowed | 81.3% (122nd) | 75.0% (93rd) |
| Front-seven havoc allowed | 10.7% (108th) | 8.5% (48th) |
| Front-seven havoc | 7.2% (126th) | 7.5% (121st) |
The lines. Big Uglies is our rating for each offensive line and each defensive front: adjusted line yards (30%), stuff rate (20%), power success (15%), sack rate (20%) and front-seven havoc (15%), against every FBS team. 50 is average, and every 10 points is a standard deviation. Line stats from CollegeFootballData.com, garbage time out.
Neither team has a real turnover edge: California is +0.1 a game and NC State −0.1. Fumble recoveries are mostly luck, and NC State's takeaways lean on them (0.7 of 1.1 a game).
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions thrown / game | 0.63 (51st) | 0.57 (40th) |
| Fumbles lost / game | 0.38 (42nd) | 0.71 (99th) |
| Giveaways / game | 1.00 (36th) | 1.29 (72nd) |
| Interceptions / game | 0.88 (38th) | 0.43 (105th) |
| Fumbles recovered / game | 0.25 (113th) | 0.71 (24th) |
| Takeaways / game | 1.13 (81st) | 1.14 (67th) |
| Turnover margin / game | +0.1 (64th) | -0.1 (77th) |
Per game, from play-by-play.
NC State has the more talented roster (32nd in the 247Sports talent composite; California is 33rd). NC State also plays further above its talent: −6.8 points of SP+ beyond what its roster predicts, to California's −13.8.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Talent composite | 751.9 (33rd) | 757.1 (32nd) |
| Blue-chip ratio | 21.9% (37th) | 24.7% (34th) |
| Players on roster | 103 (119th) | 125 (8th) |
| Rated by 247Sports | 96 (6th) | 89 (29th) |
| 5-star players | 0 (37th) | 0 (37th) |
| 4-star players | 21 (32nd) | 22 (30th) |
| 3-star players | 68 (37th) | 67 (45th) |
| Below 3-star | 7 (14th) | 0 (113th) |
| 2026 transfers in | 32 (24th) | 20 (76th) |
| Transfer share | 33.3% (50th) | 22.5% (97th) |
| SP+ vs. talent | -13.8 (131st) | -6.8 (109th) |
| Returning production | 58.3% (43rd) | 59.9% (41st) |
| Returning passing production | 88.7% (47th) | 93.1% (39th) |
| Returning rushing production | 0.0% (113th) | 101.5% (16th) |
| Returning receiving production | 43.0% (60th) | 26.0% (91st) |
| 2026 recruiting class (national rank) | 56 (56th) | 49 (49th) |
| Recruiting rank, last four classes | 64.8 (67th) | 38.2 (32nd) |
247Sports team talent composite and 2026 transfer portal class. Star counts cover only the players 247Sports rates, not walk-ons, so they add up to less than the full roster. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams.
NC State's roster is valued at $19.2M, California's at $19.1M. NC State also plays better per dollar: −5.2 points of SP+ above what its payroll predicts, to −12.4 for California.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| Roster value | $19.1M (60th) | $19.2M (58th) |
| Roster cost per win | $6.4M (48th) | $6.4M (50th) |
| Projected wins per $1M | 0.17 (64th) | 0.30 (29th) |
| SP+ vs. payroll | -12.4 (68th) | -5.2 (53rd) |
NIL roster value from The NIL Standard (power-conference teams plus Boise State and Oregon State). Ranks are out of 70 teams with a valuation.
California is −1.0 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is coaching (−2.1). NC State is −0.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is coaching (−1.0). California's record is running 0.9 wins ahead of its play on luck alone, so it's not as good as the record says.
| California | NC State | |
|---|---|---|
| RECEIPTS (total) | -1.0 (109th) | -0.5 (89th) |
| Schedule RECEIPTS | -0.6 (117th) | +0.2 (80th) |
| Roster RECEIPTS | +0.9 (20th) | +0.8 (24th) |
| Coach RECEIPTS | -2.1 (135th) | -1.0 (109th) |
| Luck RECEIPTS | +0.9 (19th) | -0.5 (100th) |
Where the wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. Then each win (or loss) goes to the schedule, the roster, the coaching or luck, and the four add up to the real record. Wins above or below a .500 team.
The numbers pick NC State, 78% chance to win. All three ratings favor the same team. NC State's best matchup is its run game, 58th in yards per carry, against California's run defense at 132nd.
Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET at Carter-Finley Stadium. It's on ACC Network.
SP+ projects NC State 36–26. That's from this season's SP+ offense, defense and special teams ratings, with home field worth 2.5 points.
DraftKings has NC State −9.5, total 56.5. The numbers pick winners, not bets.
NC State leads 1–0. Last meeting: NC State won 24–23 in 2024.
California: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (1,612 passing yards), Adam Mohammed (329 rushing yards) and Chase Hendricks (506 receiving yards). NC State: CJ Bailey (1,765 passing yards), Jayden Scott (349 rushing yards) and Keenan Jackson (467 receiving yards). Season totals through Oct 24, 2026.
California's is Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (1,612 passing yards this season); NC State's is CJ Bailey (1,765 passing yards this season).
NC State: Jayden Scott (RB) hasn't played since Week 5.
Numbers through the games of Oct 24, 2026. SP+ as of Oct 27, 2026. Updated every week.
California and NC State: team pages with every stat and national rank. Compare any two teams.