Egypt Nelson stats, 2026
Western Michigan (5–3, Mid-American). Wide receiver. 2026 season, games through Oct 24, 2026.
Egypt Nelson is a wide receiver for Western Michigan (5–3). Among receivers and tight ends this season he's 424th in explosive catches (16+ yards) (4), 438th in catches (14), 491st in receiving yards (148), in 7 games. This week: Bowling Green at Western Michigan.
Bio
Who is Egypt Nelson?
- Position
- Wide receiver
- Class
- Junior
- Height
- 6-4
- Weight
- 200 pounds
- Number
- No. 8
- Hometown
- Norfolk, VA
- Transfers
- VMI to Western Michigan (2025)
From the 2026 roster, the 247Sports recruiting composite and the transfer portal, all via CollegeFootballData.com.
The season
Egypt Nelson's receiving stats
He's 438th of 682 receivers and tight ends in catches (14) and 491st of 682 receivers and tight ends in receiving yards (148).
| Stat | Season | National rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 148 | 491st of 682 |
| Catches | 14 | 438th of 682 |
| Yards per catch | 10.6 | 510th of 675 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 | 501st of 506 |
The season
Egypt Nelson's receiving efficiency and big plays
He's 424th of 657 receivers and tight ends in explosive catches (16+ yards) (4).
| Stat | Season | National rank |
|---|---|---|
| Explosive catches (16+ yards) | 4 | 424th of 657 |
Ranks are among every FBS receivers and tight end with the stat this season. Rates need a minimum sample (50 dropbacks for passing rates, 20 carries, 8 catches). From the play-by-play.
Charts
How does Egypt Nelson compare, in charts?
Career
Egypt Nelson's career stats
| Season | Team | Catches | Rec yds | Yds/catch | Rec TD | Rush yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | VMI | 15 | 247 | 16.5 | 1 | — |
| 2024 | VMI | 20 | 269 | 13.4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2026 | Western Michigan | 14 | 148 | 10.6 | 1 | 0 |
| Career | 49 | 664 | 13.6 | 3 | 7 |
Past seasons (back to 2022) from CollegeFootballData.com; 2026 from the play-by-play, games through Oct 24, 2026.
By school
How did Egypt Nelson do at VMI and Western Michigan?
VMI (2023–2024) is where he's been best: his best on 2 of the 3 rates below. That's 14.7 yards a catch (10.6 at Western Michigan) and 16+ yard gains on 39.4% of his catches (28.6%). His weakest stretch was Western Michigan this season: 10.6 yards a catch and 16+ yard gains on 28.6% of his catches. His biggest season for receiving yards was 2024 at VMI, with 269. The Western Michigan numbers are 2026 so far, through Oct 24, 2026. The rates compare fairly with his other seasons; the totals are still growing.
| School | Seasons | Catches | Rec yds | Yds/catch | Rec TD | Rush yds | Explosive catches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 2023–2024 | 35 | 516 | 14.7 | 2 | 7 | 39.4% |
| Western Michigan | 2026 (so far) | 14 | 148 | 10.6 | 1 | 0 | 28.6% |
* 2026 so far, through Oct 24, 2026.
Totals for his seasons at each school; rates worked out from those totals. Success and explosive rates count every play; EPA per play leaves out garbage time. Rates need the same minimum sample as the season stats.
Advanced
Egypt Nelson's advanced stats by season
| Season | Team | EPA/play | Pass EPA/play | Rush EPA/play | Explosive catches | Total EPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | VMI | — | — | — | 46.7% | — | — |
| 2024 | VMI | +0.17 | +0.35 | -0.19 | 33.3% | 1.0 | 5% |
| 2026 | Western Michigan | -0.25 | -0.25 | — | 28.6% | -5.8 | 6% |
EPA per play is the expected points a player adds on each of his plays (0 is average; glossary). Success means the play stayed on schedule: half the yards to go on first down, 70% on second, all of them on third or fourth. Explosive means a run of 12+ yards or a completion of 16+, as a share of his throws, carries or catches. Usage is the share of his team's plays that went to him. EPA and usage leave out garbage time; success and explosive rates count every play. From CollegeFootballData.com and cfbfastR.
Game log
Egypt Nelson's game log, 2026
| Week | Opponent | Result | Receiving yards | Catches | Receiving TDs | Explosive catches (16+ yards) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western Michigan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | vs. Monmouth | W 49–14 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | Western Michigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | vs. Boise State | L 7–32 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | at Buffalo | W 20–17 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | vs. Kent State | W 38–7 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | at Toledo | L 38–45 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
FAQ
Questions about Egypt Nelson
What position does Egypt Nelson play?
Egypt Nelson plays wide receiver for Western Michigan, which is 5–3 this season.
Where has Egypt Nelson played?
VMI (2023–2024) and Western Michigan (2026).
Where is Egypt Nelson from, and what year is he?
Egypt Nelson is a junior wide receiver for Western Michigan, listed at 6-4 and 200 pounds, from Norfolk, VA.
How tall is Egypt Nelson, and how much does he weigh?
Egypt Nelson is listed at 6-4 and 200 pounds on Western Michigan's 2026 roster.
What year is Egypt Nelson?
Egypt Nelson is a junior.
What are Egypt Nelson's career stats?
Over 3 seasons (2023–2026), Egypt Nelson has 49 catches for 664 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Who does Egypt Nelson play for?
Western Michigan (5–3, Mid-American), where he plays wide receiver and wears No. 8.
How did Egypt Nelson play in his last game?
Week 8 at Toledo: 28 receiving yards, 2 catches, 1 explosive catch (16+ yards). Western Michigan lost 38–45.
Is Egypt Nelson a transfer?
Yes. He transferred from VMI to Western Michigan (2025).
What are Egypt Nelson's stats this season?
148 receiving yards, 14 catches, 10.6 yards per catch, 1 receiving TDs, 4 explosive catches (16+ yards) in 7 games, through Oct 24, 2026.
How does Egypt Nelson rank nationally?
Among FBS receivers and tight ends: 424th of 657 in explosive catches (16+ yards), 438th of 682 in catches, 491st of 682 in receiving yards.
When does Egypt Nelson play next?
Western Michigan hosts Bowling Green Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET on CBSSN. The numbers' pick: Western Michigan.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
Where the data comes from
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
| DraftKings lines (via The Odds API and CollegeFootballData.com) | The line and total on each game, and where each opened | Every morning, and before kickoffs Thursday to Saturday |
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| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
| us-atlas (U.S. Census Bureau boundaries) | State shapes for the map | Once |
How we turn it into projections
- Projected score. Each team's SP+ offense, plus how far the opponent's SP+ defense is from average, plus special teams. The home team gets half of a 2.5-point home edge added and the visitor half subtracted.
- Win chance. The projected margin turned into a probability, assuming games usually land within about 14 points of the projection. A 0-point margin is 50%; 14 points is about 84%.
- The three ratings. SP+ is built from every play this season. PRIME is a possession-efficiency rating. Elo uses only final scores and carries over from year to year, with 55 Elo points of home edge.
- The numbers' pick. The team at least two of the three ratings favor, with our confidence the average of their three win chances for that team. On the game cards, a pick is a lock when all three favor the same team and the average win chance is 80% or more, a coin flip when it's under 55%, and a lean otherwise. Injuries can drop the tier: each key player out counts by what he does for his team (a starting quarterback is 2 points, the feature back or top receiver half a point, doubtful counts half), the other side's injuries offset, and 1 point drops a tier, 2 points two. The game page shows it as an injury alert. Nobody overrides the numbers' pick.
- CFB Charts Top 25. SP+, PRIME and strength of record, each converted to a common scale and averaged.
- Playoff picture. The 2026-27 rules: automatic bids for the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions (the current conference leader stands in until the title games) and for the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt. Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12. The rest are at-large teams by the chosen rating, and all 12 are seeded straight by that rating, so the top four get the byes. Once the committee's rankings are out (first release Tuesday, Nov. 3), they become the default ranking.
- Missing data. When a team's play-by-play is clearly incomplete (fewer than 45 offensive plays a game), we hide its offense stats instead of showing bad numbers.
Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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- SP+
- Bill Connelly's rating, built from play-by-play efficiency and explosiveness and adjusted for who each team played. The number is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. SP+ 20 beats SP+ 10 by about 10.
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- A rating built possession by possession: how well a team turns drives into points and keeps opponents from doing the same, adjusted for opponents. Zero is an average FBS team.
- Elo
- A results-only rating. Every team has a number, 1500 is average, and the winner takes points from the loser after every game. Beat a great team and you take a lot. Beat a bad one and you take a few. It carries part of last season over, so it's slow to catch a team that changed.
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- How impressive a record is, given who a team played: how many more games it won than an average team would have against the same schedule. It grades the resume. SP+ and PRIME grade how good the team is.
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- How hard a team's opponents have been so far.
- Opponent-adjusted
- Corrected for who a team played. Hanging 50 on an FCS team counts for less than hanging 30 on Georgia.
- EPA (expected points added)
- Every down, distance and spot on the field is worth some number of points on average. 1st and 10 at the opponent's 20 is worth a lot more than 3rd and 15 at your own 10. EPA is how much one play changed that number. A 50-yard bomb is a big plus. A pick-six is a very big minus.
- EPA per play
- A team's average EPA across all its plays. For an offense, above zero means it adds points and higher is better. For a defense, lower is better.
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- Explosive play rate
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- Schedule, Roster, Coach and Luck RECEIPTS
- The four parts of RECEIPTS. Schedule: what an average team would win against that schedule, minus .500. Roster: the extra wins from a roster this good on paper (247Sports talent and returning production). Coach: wins from playing better or worse than that roster should. Luck: actual wins against the wins SP+ expects. Recruiting rankings undersell the service academies, so their coaches get extra credit.
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- 247Sports' score for a roster, built from every player's recruiting rating, with the best players counting most. The blue-chip ratio is the share of the roster that were 4- or 5-star recruits.
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- 12 teams, under the 2026-27 rules. Automatic bids go to the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, and to the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt. Until the title games, each conference's current leader stands in as its champion.
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Each column is that week's ranking. Arrows compare the latest poll to the week before. NR means not ranked.
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SP+ vs. payroll is the average, across a conference's teams with an NIL valuation (positive means its teams play better than their payrolls predict). Blue-chip ratio is the share of all its rostered players who were 4- or 5-star recruits.
Ranks are national, out of 138 FBS teams. A top-10 team also counts toward the top 25 and top 40, and everyone outside the last cutoff counts as weak. Open a conference to see its teams.
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Seeds 1–4 get first-round byes. Seeds 5–8 host the first round.
The field and the bubble
The columns on the right show where each team would be seeded under the other ratings. A dash means out.
How the field is built
- 12 teams. Five get in automatically: the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, plus the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt (champion or not).
- Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12.
- At-large. The remaining spots go to the highest-ranked teams left. If an automatic qualifier ranks outside the top 12, it takes the last at-large spot.
- Seeding follows the ranking, as it has since 2025. A conference champion isn't guaranteed a bye.
- Champions mid-season. "Current conference leader" uses the best conference record so far, with ties broken by the chosen rating. "Highest-rated team" picks the best-rated team in each conference instead.
- Composite averages SP+, PRIME and strength of record after putting each on a common scale.
- This is a projection from today's numbers. The real field is chosen by a committee on Dec. 6, after conference title games.
How we picked it
How we picked it
Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.
Where the game is won
Where the game is won
Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.
Injuries and availability
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
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Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.