Georgia leads 58–44–2 in World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party through 2025. Georgia won the last meeting, 24–20, in 2025. This year's game is Florida vs. Georgia on Saturday, Oct 31, and the numbers' pick is Georgia.
Florida vs. Georgia
Saturday, Oct 31 on ABC, Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The numbers' pick: Georgia.
Who's won the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party lately?
- 2016
Florida24–10 - 2017
Georgia42–7 - 2018Georgia36–17
- 2019Georgia24–17
- 2020Florida44–28
- 2021Georgia34–7
- 2022Georgia42–20
- 2023Georgia43–20
- 2024Georgia34–20
- 2025Georgia24–20
Georgia has won 5 straight, since 2021. Over the last 10 meetings, Georgia is 8–2.
What's the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party trophy?
Okefenokee Oar: a 10-foot oar carved from a roughly 1,000-year-old cypress from the Okefenokee Swamp, with each school's symbols on opposite sides; the student governments created it in 2009 and it goes to the winning school's student body president, not to the team on the field.
How did World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party start?
Georgia counts a 52-0 win in 1904 over a school that Florida doesn't recognize as its own, so the first game both schools count is Georgia's 37-0 win in Jacksonville in 1915. The game has been played in Jacksonville since 1933, apart from 1994 and 1995 when the stadium was being rebuilt, and it's set to move to Atlanta in 2026 and Tampa in 2027 before returning. A Florida Times-Union sports editor coined "World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party" in 1958, and in 2006 the schools and the SEC asked CBS to stop using the name over concerns about student drinking. In 1980 Buck Belue hit Lindsay Scott for a 93-yard touchdown in the final seconds to win 26-21, the play behind Larry Munson's "Run, Lindsay" call, and Georgia went on to win the national title. In 2007 the whole Georgia team ran into the end zone to celebrate its first touchdown, the "Gator Stomp," and won 42-30.
What are the most famous World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party games?
- 1980: Run, LindsayTrailing 21-20 with seconds left, Buck Belue threw to Lindsay Scott for a 93-yard touchdown and Georgia won 26-21 on its way to the national title.Final: Georgia 26–21
- 1985: No. 1 goes downGeorgia beat top-ranked Florida 24-3 and its fans tore down the goalposts.Final: Georgia 24–3
- 2007: Gator StompGeorgia's team-wide end zone celebration drew penalties, and Knowshon Moreno ran for 188 yards in a 42-30 win.Final: Georgia 42–30
How has the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party series swung?
Each bar is one meeting. Bars above the line are Florida wins and bars below it are Georgia wins; the taller the bar, the bigger the margin (bars stop at 56 points). The empty stretch from 1905 to 1914 is when the series wasn't played. Over the last 10 meetings Georgia is 8–2. The widest margins are Florida 47–7 in 1996 and Georgia 75–0 in 1942.
How do Florida and Georgia compare this season?
Georgia is the better team this season by SP+ (2nd to 31st), and it's ahead on 8 of these 10 stats. Each row is one stat: the dots are each team's national rank out of 138, printed by the dot, and further left is better.
| National rank | Florida | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | 31st | 2nd |
| SP+ offense | 24th | 2nd |
| SP+ defense | 50th | 4th |
| Success rate | 62nd | 5th |
| Success rate allowed | 107th | 28th |
| Explosive play rate | 48th | 3rd |
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 50th | 9th |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 35th | 47th |
| Takeaways a game | 58th | 29th |
| Giveaways a game | 40th | 54th |
What are the records in World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
- Biggest Florida win
- 1996, 47–7
- Biggest Georgia win
- 1942, 75–0
- Longest streaks
- Florida, 7 straight (1990–1996); Georgia, 7 straight (1904–1927)
- Most points
- Georgia, 75 in 1942
- Ties
- 2
Who has the most yards in World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
| Best single game | Most in the series | |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | Kyle Trask (Florida), 474 passing yards in 2020, with 4 TDs | Aaron Murray (Georgia), 890 passing yards in 4 games (2010–2013) |
| Rushing | Kelvin Taylor (Florida), 197 rushing yards in 2014, with 2 TDs | Kelvin Taylor (Florida), 394 rushing yards in 3 games (2013–2015) |
| Receiving | Brock Bowers (Georgia), 154 receiving yards in 2022, with 1 TD | Mohamed Massaquoi (Georgia), 258 receiving yards in 4 games (2005–2008) |
From the box scores of the 22 meetings since 2004 on CollegeFootballData.com. Older games don't have player stats.
World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party results: every game since 1904
| Year | Winner | Score | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia | 24–20 | Neutral |
| 2024 | Georgia | 34–20 | Neutral |
| 2023 | Georgia | 43–20 | Neutral |
| 2022 | Georgia | 42–20 | Neutral |
| 2021 | Georgia | 34–7 | Neutral |
| 2020 | Florida | 44–28 | Neutral |
| 2019 | Georgia | 24–17 | Neutral |
| 2018 | Georgia | 36–17 | Neutral |
| 2017 | Georgia | 42–7 | Neutral |
| 2016 | Florida | 24–10 | Neutral |
| 2015 | Florida | 27–3 | Neutral |
| 2014 | Florida | 38–20 | Neutral |
| 2013 | Georgia | 23–20 | Neutral |
| 2012 | Georgia | 17–9 | Neutral |
| 2011 | Georgia | 24–20 | Neutral |
| 2010 | Florida | 34–31 | Neutral |
| 2009 | Florida | 41–17 | Neutral |
| 2008 | Florida | 49–10 | Neutral |
| 2007 | Georgia | 42–30 | Florida |
| 2006 | Florida | 21–14 | Georgia |
| 2005 | Florida | 14–10 | Florida |
| 2004 | Georgia | 31–24 | Neutral |
| 2003 | Florida | 16–13 | Florida |
| 2002 | Florida | 20–13 | Georgia |
| 2001 | Florida | 24–10 | Florida |
| 2000 | Florida | 34–23 | Florida |
| 1999 | Florida | 30–14 | Florida |
| 1998 | Florida | 38–7 | Florida |
| 1997 | Georgia | 37–17 | Georgia |
| 1996 | Florida | 47–7 | Florida |
| 1995 | Florida | 52–17 | Georgia |
| 1994 | Florida | 52–14 | Florida |
| 1993 | Florida | 33–26 | Florida |
| 1992 | Florida | 26–24 | Florida |
| 1991 | Florida | 45–13 | Florida |
| 1990 | Florida | 38–7 | Florida |
| 1989 | Georgia | 17–10 | Georgia |
| 1988 | Georgia | 26–3 | Georgia |
| 1987 | Georgia | 23–10 | Georgia |
| 1986 | Florida | 31–19 | Florida |
| 1985 | Georgia | 24–3 | Georgia |
| 1984 | Florida | 27–0 | Florida |
| 1983 | Georgia | 10–9 | Georgia |
| 1982 | Georgia | 44–0 | Georgia |
| 1981 | Georgia | 26–21 | Georgia |
| 1980 | Georgia | 26–21 | Georgia |
| 1979 | Georgia | 33–10 | Georgia |
| 1978 | Georgia | 24–22 | Georgia |
| 1977 | Florida | 22–17 | Florida |
| 1976 | Georgia | 41–27 | Georgia |
| 1975 | Georgia | 10–7 | Georgia |
| 1974 | Georgia | 17–16 | Georgia |
| 1973 | Florida | 11–10 | Florida |
| 1972 | Georgia | 10–7 | Georgia |
| 1971 | Georgia | 49–7 | Georgia |
| 1970 | Florida | 24–17 | Florida |
| 1969 | Tie | 13–13 | Georgia |
| 1968 | Georgia | 51–0 | Georgia |
| 1967 | Florida | 17–16 | Florida |
| 1966 | Georgia | 27–10 | Georgia |
| 1965 | Florida | 14–10 | Florida |
| 1964 | Georgia | 14–7 | Georgia |
| 1963 | Florida | 21–14 | Florida |
| 1962 | Florida | 23–15 | Florida |
| 1961 | Florida | 21–14 | Florida |
| 1960 | Florida | 22–14 | Florida |
| 1959 | Georgia | 21–10 | Georgia |
| 1958 | Florida | 7–6 | Florida |
| 1957 | Florida | 22–0 | Florida |
| 1956 | Florida | 28–0 | Florida |
| 1955 | Florida | 19–13 | Florida |
| 1954 | Georgia | 14–13 | Georgia |
| 1953 | Florida | 21–7 | Florida |
| 1952 | Florida | 30–0 | Florida |
| 1951 | Georgia | 7–6 | Georgia |
| 1950 | Georgia | 6–0 | Georgia |
| 1949 | Florida | 28–7 | Florida |
| 1948 | Georgia | 20–12 | Georgia |
| 1947 | Georgia | 34–6 | Georgia |
| 1946 | Georgia | 33–14 | Georgia |
| 1945 | Georgia | 34–0 | Georgia |
| 1944 | Georgia | 38–12 | Georgia |
| 1942 | Georgia | 75–0 | Georgia |
| 1941 | Georgia | 19–3 | Georgia |
| 1940 | Florida | 18–13 | Florida |
| 1939 | Georgia | 6–2 | Georgia |
| 1938 | Georgia | 19–6 | Georgia |
| 1937 | Florida | 6–0 | Florida |
| 1936 | Georgia | 26–8 | Georgia |
| 1935 | Georgia | 7–0 | Georgia |
| 1934 | Georgia | 14–0 | Georgia |
| 1933 | Georgia | 14–0 | Georgia |
| 1932 | Georgia | 33–12 | Georgia |
| 1931 | Georgia | 33–6 | Florida |
| 1930 | Tie | 0–0 | Florida |
| 1929 | Florida | 18–6 | Florida |
| 1928 | Florida | 26–6 | Georgia |
| 1927 | Georgia | 28–0 | Florida |
| 1926 | Georgia | 32–9 | Georgia |
| 1920 | Georgia | 56–0 | Georgia |
| 1919 | Georgia | 16–0 | Florida |
| 1916 | Georgia | 21–0 | Georgia |
| 1915 | Georgia | 37–0 | Georgia |
| 1904 | Georgia | 52–0 | Georgia |
Results from CollegeFootballData.com. The schools' official series records can differ by a game or two (vacated wins, disputed early games).
Questions about World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party
Who leads the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party series?
Georgia leads 58–44–2 through the 2025 game, with 2 ties, in the 104 meetings on record since 1904.
Who won the last World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Georgia beat Florida 24–20 on Nov 1, 2025 at EverBank Stadium.
When was the first World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
1904. Georgia won 52–0.
What's the trophy for the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Okefenokee Oar: a 10-foot oar carved from a roughly 1,000-year-old cypress from the Okefenokee Swamp, with each school's symbols on opposite sides; the student governments created it in 2009 and it goes to the winning school's student body president, not to the team on the field.
What's the biggest win in the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Georgia won by 75 in 1942, 75–0. Florida won by 40 in 1996, 47–7.
What's the longest winning streak in the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Florida won 7 straight from 1990 to 1996. Georgia won 7 straight from 1904 to 1927.
Who has won the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party lately?
Georgia has won 5 straight, since 2021. Over the last 10 meetings, Georgia is 8–2.
Why is it called the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
A Florida Times-Union sports editor coined "World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party" in 1958, and in 2006 the schools and the SEC asked CBS to stop using the name over concerns about student drinking.
Who has the most passing yards in a World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party game?
Kyle Trask (Florida), 474 passing yards in 2020, with 4 TDs, the most in one game since 2004. The most in the series: Aaron Murray (Georgia), 890 passing yards in 4 games (2010–2013).
Who has the most rushing yards in a World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party game?
Kelvin Taylor (Florida), 197 rushing yards in 2014, with 2 TDs, the most in one game since 2004. The most in the series: Kelvin Taylor (Florida), 394 rushing yards in 3 games (2013–2015).
Who has the most receiving yards in a World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party game?
Brock Bowers (Georgia), 154 receiving yards in 2022, with 1 TD, the most in one game since 2004. The most in the series: Mohamed Massaquoi (Georgia), 258 receiving yards in 4 games (2005–2008).
What is the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party is the Florida–Georgia rivalry, first played in 1904. Georgia leads 58–44–2 through 2025, and the winner takes home the Okefenokee Oar.
What happened in the 1980 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Run, Lindsay: Trailing 21-20 with seconds left, Buck Belue threw to Lindsay Scott for a 93-yard touchdown and Georgia won 26-21 on its way to the national title. Final: Georgia 26–21.
What happened in the 1985 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
No. 1 goes down: Georgia beat top-ranked Florida 24-3 and its fans tore down the goalposts. Final: Georgia 24–3.
What happened in the 2007 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Gator Stomp: Georgia's team-wide end zone celebration drew penalties, and Knowshon Moreno ran for 188 yards in a 42-30 win. Final: Georgia 42–30.
Where can I watch Florida vs. Georgia, and what time is it?
Florida vs. Georgia, Saturday, October 31, 3:30 PM ET, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site). It's on ABC.
When and where is the 2026 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Florida vs. Georgia, Saturday, October 31, 3:30 PM ET, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site). It's on ABC.
Florida vs. Georgia prediction: who will win in 2026?
SP+ projects Georgia 38–21, about an 88% chance to win. The numbers' pick: Georgia.
What was the score of the last Florida vs. Georgia game?
Georgia won 24–20 on Nov 1, 2025.
What's the Florida vs. Georgia record in the last 10 years?
Georgia is 8–1 in the 9 meetings since 2016.
Florida vs. Georgia player stats: who starred in the 2025 game?
For Georgia, Gunner Stockton threw for 223 yards and 2 TDs; Chauncey Bowens ran for 70 yards and 1 TD; Zachariah Branch had 112 receiving yards. For Florida, D.J. Lagway threw for 166 yards and 1 TD; Jadan Baugh ran for 72 yards and 1 TD; Eugene Wilson had 121 receiving yards and 1 TD.
Who won the 2025 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Georgia beat Florida 24–20 on Nov 1, 2025 at EverBank Stadium.
Who won the 2024 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Georgia beat Florida 34–20 on Nov 2, 2024 at EverBank Stadium.
Who won the 2023 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Georgia beat Florida 43–20 on Oct 28, 2023 at EverBank Stadium.
Who won the 2022 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Georgia beat Florida 42–20 on Oct 29, 2022 at EverBank Stadium.
Who won the 2021 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
Georgia beat Florida 34–7 on Oct 30, 2021 at EverBank Stadium.
When was the last time Florida won the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
2020, 44–28. Georgia has won all 5 meetings since.
When was the last time Georgia won the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
2025, 24–20, the most recent meeting.
Who will win the 2026 World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party?
The numbers' pick is Georgia. The full preview has the projected score and the matchups.
Related
- Florida's 2026 team page
- Georgia's 2026 team page
- Florida vs. Georgia: this week's preview
- Sunshine Showdown: Florida vs. Florida State
- Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate: Georgia vs. Georgia Tech
- Deep South's Oldest Rivalry: Auburn vs. Georgia
- Every named rivalry
History and trophy sources: en.wikipedia.org.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
Where the data comes from
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
| DraftKings lines (via The Odds API and CollegeFootballData.com) | The line and total on each game, and where each opened | Every morning, and before kickoffs Thursday to Saturday |
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| AP Top 25 (via NCAA.com) | Rankings and points, including others receiving votes | Sunday afternoons |
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| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
| us-atlas (U.S. Census Bureau boundaries) | State shapes for the map | Once |
How we turn it into projections
- Projected score. Each team's SP+ offense, plus how far the opponent's SP+ defense is from average, plus special teams. The home team gets half of a 2.5-point home edge added and the visitor half subtracted.
- Win chance. The projected margin turned into a probability, assuming games usually land within about 14 points of the projection. A 0-point margin is 50%; 14 points is about 84%.
- The three ratings. SP+ is built from every play this season. PRIME is a possession-efficiency rating. Elo uses only final scores and carries over from year to year, with 55 Elo points of home edge.
- The numbers' pick. The team at least two of the three ratings favor, with our confidence the average of their three win chances for that team. On the game cards, a pick is a lock when all three favor the same team and the average win chance is 80% or more, a coin flip when it's under 55%, and a lean otherwise. Injuries can drop the tier: each key player out counts by what he does for his team (a starting quarterback is 2 points, the feature back or top receiver half a point, doubtful counts half), the other side's injuries offset, and 1 point drops a tier, 2 points two. The game page shows it as an injury alert. Nobody overrides the numbers' pick.
- CFB Charts Top 25. SP+, PRIME and strength of record, each converted to a common scale and averaged.
- Playoff picture. The 2026-27 rules: automatic bids for the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions (the current conference leader stands in until the title games) and for the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt. Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12. The rest are at-large teams by the chosen rating, and all 12 are seeded straight by that rating, so the top four get the byes. Once the committee's rankings are out (first release Tuesday, Nov. 3), they become the default ranking.
- Missing data. When a team's play-by-play is clearly incomplete (fewer than 45 offensive plays a game), we hide its offense stats instead of showing bad numbers.
Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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Ratings and advanced stats
What the numbers on team pages, charts and head to head mean.
- SP+
- Bill Connelly's rating, built from play-by-play efficiency and explosiveness and adjusted for who each team played. The number is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. SP+ 20 beats SP+ 10 by about 10.
- PRIME
- A rating built possession by possession: how well a team turns drives into points and keeps opponents from doing the same, adjusted for opponents. Zero is an average FBS team.
- Elo
- A results-only rating. Every team has a number, 1500 is average, and the winner takes points from the loser after every game. Beat a great team and you take a lot. Beat a bad one and you take a few. It carries part of last season over, so it's slow to catch a team that changed.
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- How impressive a record is, given who a team played: how many more games it won than an average team would have against the same schedule. It grades the resume. SP+ and PRIME grade how good the team is.
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- Opponent-adjusted
- Corrected for who a team played. Hanging 50 on an FCS team counts for less than hanging 30 on Georgia.
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- Every down, distance and spot on the field is worth some number of points on average. 1st and 10 at the opponent's 20 is worth a lot more than 3rd and 15 at your own 10. EPA is how much one play changed that number. A 50-yard bomb is a big plus. A pick-six is a very big minus.
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- A team's average EPA across all its plays. For an offense, above zero means it adds points and higher is better. For a defense, lower is better.
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- The share of plays that keep an offense on schedule: half the yards needed on 1st down, 70% of them on 2nd, all of them on 3rd and 4th. A 4-yard run on 1st and 10 is a success. A 4-yard run on 3rd and 6 isn't.
- Explosive play rate
- The share of plays that go for a run of 12 or more yards or a completion of 16 or more.
- Yards per play
- Total yards divided by plays: runs, passes and sacks.
- Sack rate
- Sacks divided by dropbacks. For an offense, lower is better. For a pass rush, higher is better.
- Turnover margin
- Takeaways (interceptions and fumbles recovered) minus giveaways (interceptions thrown and fumbles lost).
- RECEIPTS
- Record Explained: Coaching, Experience, Incoming talent, Pure luck and Toughness of Schedule. Where a team's wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. The record above or below .500 gets split four ways that add up to the real record: schedule (what an average team would win against that schedule), roster (the wins its talent and returning starters are worth on paper), coach (wins from playing better or worse than that roster) and luck (actual wins against the wins its SP+ says it should have). On team pages and in two charts.
- Schedule, Roster, Coach and Luck RECEIPTS
- The four parts of RECEIPTS. Schedule: what an average team would win against that schedule, minus .500. Roster: the extra wins from a roster this good on paper (247Sports talent and returning production). Coach: wins from playing better or worse than that roster should. Luck: actual wins against the wins SP+ expects. Recruiting rankings undersell the service academies, so their coaches get extra credit.
- Luck watch
- A tag for a team whose Luck RECEIPTS is 1.5 wins or more either way: "Lucky +2.4" or "Unlucky −1.6." Its record runs ahead of (or behind) how it's played, and lines and polls often follow records.
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- Talent composite and blue-chip ratio
- 247Sports' score for a roster, built from every player's recruiting rating, with the best players counting most. The blue-chip ratio is the share of the roster that were 4- or 5-star recruits.
How we pick
How the picks, tiers and projections work. The full method is on Sources and methods.
- Projected score
- Each team's SP+ offense, adjusted for how good the other team's defense is, plus special teams. The home team gets 2.5 points of home edge, split between the two scores.
- Win chance
- The projected margin turned into a percentage, assuming games usually land within about 14 points of the projection. A tie projection is 50%. A 14-point favorite is about 84%.
- The numbers' pick
- The team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor. The confidence is the average of their three win chances. Nobody overrides it.
- Lock, Lean, Coin flip and Stay away
- How sure the numbers are about a straight-up pick. Lock: SP+, PRIME and Elo all favor the same team and the average win chance is 80% or more. Lean: the ratings favor the team, but not that strongly or not all three. Coin flip: the average win chance is under 55%. Stay away: injuries take the pick down. Key players count by what they do for the team: a starting quarterback out is 2 points, the feature back, top receiver or top pass rusher half a point, the No. 2 receiver or playmaker a quarter, and a short-handed line or secondary half a point. Doubtful counts half. When the picked team's points, minus the other side's, reach 1, the pick drops a tier (a Lock to a Lean, a Lean or Coin flip to Stay away); at 2 it drops two.
- Game of the week
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- Everyone else in FBS: the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 and Sun Belt, plus the independents other than Notre Dame. The highest-ranked team from those six conferences gets an automatic playoff bid.
- Automatic bid
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- At-large
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- First-round bye
- Seeds 1 through 4 skip the first round. Seeds 5 through 12 play first-round games at the higher seed's stadium.
Nothing matches that. Try a shorter word.
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About
About College Football Charts
College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
What's here
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
Who makes the picks
The numbers. Every pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor, and nobody overrides them. When they miss, the retro says so and by how much.
Where the numbers come from
We don't make the ratings; we put them side by side. SP+ is Bill Connelly's. SUPLEX is Nate Tice's. The play-by-play comes from CollegeFootballData.com and cfbfastR. The full list, and how we turn it into picks, is on Sources and methods.
What this isn't
Betting advice. The line shows up because it's part of the story of a game, not because we want you to bet it.
Get in touch
Questions, a stat you want to see, a bug, or a partnership idea: send us a note. The newsletter has the picks and the retro every week.
About
Contact
Questions, ideas, bugs, partnerships: they all come here.
We use what you send only to answer it. See the privacy policy.
- 12 teams, under the 2026-27 rules. Automatic bids go to the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, and to the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt. Until the title games, each conference's current leader stands in as its champion.
- Notre Dame is in if you rank it in your top 12. Everyone else is at-large.
- Seeds go straight by your order. Seeds 1 to 4 get first-round byes; 5 to 12 play first-round games at the higher seed.
- The builder won't let you remove a Power 4 champion or your last team from outside the Power 4.
Drag a team by its handle (⋮⋮) to reseed it; with a keyboard, focus the handle and use the up and down arrow keys. Pick a different team from a row's menu to swap it in. Your field is saved in this browser.
Your 12 seeds
Your bracket
What's in it
- Thursday: the picks. The week's best games, the upset we like, projected scores for the big ones, and charts worth arguing about.
- Monday: the retro. How the picks did, the record so far, what we got wrong and why.
- Every issue, on the site. Past issues will live here, so you can link anyone to them.
The first issue is coming soon.
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Up to 40 characters each. Leave one blank to keep ours. Your labels ride along in the link, the embed and the share image.
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What this shows
Beating the trend
Trailing the trend
Projected scores come from SP+ offense, defense and special teams, plus 2.5 points for the home team. Cards also show DraftKings' line and total as facts: we pick winners, not bets. Open Details for the full read, or Head to head for every stat.
This week
Final scores against what we said before kickoff. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favored. Ranked means in that week's AP poll. Open a game for the full preview as it stood going into the week.
Last week
All-time picks record
Straight-up picks: did the pick win? The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor. The numbers' and SP+ picks start in Week 8; Elo picks go back to Week 1.
Week by week
Each column is that week's ranking. Arrows compare the latest poll to the week before. NR means not ranked.
Rankings come from cfbtrack.com. Week 1 is the preseason poll; each later week is the poll released before that week's games.
Over time
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What this shows
Rank
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What this shows
Compare
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Up to 40 characters each. Leave one blank to keep ours. Your labels ride along in the link, the embed and the share image.
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What this shows
SP+ vs. payroll is the average, across a conference's teams with an NIL valuation (positive means its teams play better than their payrolls predict). Blue-chip ratio is the share of all its rostered players who were 4- or 5-star recruits.
Ranks are national, out of 138 FBS teams. A top-10 team also counts toward the top 25 and top 40, and everyone outside the last cutoff counts as weak. Open a conference to see its teams.
Conference depth
Projected bracket
Seeds 1–4 get first-round byes. Seeds 5–8 host the first round.
The field and the bubble
The columns on the right show where each team would be seeded under the other ratings. A dash means out.
How the field is built
- 12 teams. Five get in automatically: the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, plus the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt (champion or not).
- Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12.
- At-large. The remaining spots go to the highest-ranked teams left. If an automatic qualifier ranks outside the top 12, it takes the last at-large spot.
- Seeding follows the ranking, as it has since 2025. A conference champion isn't guaranteed a bye.
- Champions mid-season. "Current conference leader" uses the best conference record so far, with ties broken by the chosen rating. "Highest-rated team" picks the best-rated team in each conference instead.
- Composite averages SP+, PRIME and strength of record after putting each on a common scale.
- This is a projection from today's numbers. The real field is chosen by a committee on Dec. 6, after conference title games.
How we picked it
How we picked it
Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.
Where the game is won
Where the game is won
Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.
Injuries and availability
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
The teams in charts
The players in charts
FAQ
Keep going
Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.