Missouri State football stats, 2026
2–5 (1–2 Conference USA). 2026 season, games through Oct 24, 2026.
Missouri State football rankings: how good is Missouri State?
SP+, PRIME and Elo agree: Missouri State is a bottom-20 team (128th, 121st and 123rd). Missouri State has played one of the softest schedules so far (119th in PRIME).
What is Missouri State good at, and what is it bad at?
Good at
- Nothing ranks that high.
Bad at
- Missouri State gets thrown on: 0.31 EPA per pass allowed, opponent-adjusted, 129th of 138.
- Missouri State can't run the ball: −0.02 EPA per rush, opponent-adjusted, 126th of 138.
- Missouri State can't get off the field on 3rd down: opponents convert 46.8% of their 3rd downs, 125th of 138.
Good at means top 25 in FBS; bad at means 91st or worse. Turnovers swing a lot from week to week.
Sam Houston at Missouri State
Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET. SP+ projection: Missouri State 25, Sam Houston 22. The numbers' pick: Missouri State (61%).
Missouri State football schedule, 2026
Next: vs. Sam Houston, Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET on ESPN2.
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result or kickoff (ET), TV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat, Sep 5 | at Texas A&M | L 0–50 |
| 2 | Sat, Sep 12 | vs. Lindenwood | W 48–14 |
| 3 | Sat, Sep 19 | vs. Marshall | L 24–30 |
| 4 | Sat, Sep 26 | at SMU | L 24–34 |
| 6 | Thu, Oct 8 | at Western Kentucky | L 13–34 |
| 7 | Wed, Oct 14 | vs. Kennesaw State | W 24–21 |
| 8 | Tue, Oct 20 | at Delaware | L 38–61 |
| 9 | Tue, Oct 27 | vs. Sam Houston | 8:00 PM ET, ESPN2 |
| 10 | Sat, Nov 7 | at Florida International | 4:00 PM ET, ESPN+ |
| 11 | Sat, Nov 14 | vs. New Mexico State | 3:00 PM ET |
| 12 | Sat, Nov 21 | at Jacksonville State | 2:00 PM ET |
| 13 | Sat, Nov 28 | vs. Liberty | 2:00 PM ET |
Kickoff times are Eastern. TV from CollegeFootballData.com; networks are set a week or two ahead.
Missouri State's 2026 record: the wins and losses
- Best win
- vs. Kennesaw State (1–6, SP+ 120th), 24–21, Week 7
- Worst loss
- at Delaware (3–4, SP+ 117th), 38–61, Week 8
- Biggest win
- vs. Lindenwood (FCS), 48–14, Week 2
Wins (2)
- vs. Kennesaw State 1–6, SP+ 120th 24–21
- vs. Lindenwood FCS 48–14
Losses (5)
- at SMU 6–1, SP+ 21st, AP No. 19 24–34
- at Texas A&M 4–4, SP+ 34th 0–50
- vs. Marshall 4–3, SP+ 111th 24–30
- at Western Kentucky 3–4, SP+ 116th 13–34
- at Delaware 3–4, SP+ 117th 38–61
| Record | |
|---|---|
| Against the AP Top 25 | 0–1 |
| Against the SP+ top 25 | 0–1 |
| Against the SP+ top 50 | 0–2 |
| Against Power 4 teams and Notre Dame | 0–2 |
| Against teams with winning records | 0–2 |
| In one-score games (8 points or fewer) | 1–1 |
| At home | 2–1 |
| Away | 0–4 |
| Against FCS teams | 1–0 |
Opponents are judged by where they stand now: their record, their SP+ rank out of 138 and the latest AP poll. Wins and losses are listed best opponent first. Strength of record and schedule are PRIME's, on its points scale, where higher is better.
How many championships has Missouri State won?
Missouri State hasn't won a major-college national championship.
Missouri State has won 10 conference championships, most recently the Missouri Valley Football Conference in 2020.
- Missouri Valley Football Conference
- 3: 1989, 1990, 2020
- MIAA
- 7: 1928, 1940, 1948, 1951, 1963, 1966, 1978
Through the 2025 season. National titles are the ones the school claims; conference titles include shared ones. From each program's records as collected on Wikipedia.
Missouri State offense: stats and national ranks
| Stat | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 24.4 | 98th |
| Yards per play | 6.20 | 64th |
| Success rate | 42.0% | 84th |
| Explosive play rate | 11.8% | 82nd |
| Yards per carry | 4.82 | 93rd |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.80 | 63rd |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.6% | 72nd |
| 3rd down conversion | 34.8% | 106th |
Missouri State defense: stats and national ranks
| Stat | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points allowed | 34.9 | 130th |
| Yards per play allowed | 6.34 | 101st |
| Success rate allowed | 50.2% | 135th |
| Explosive plays allowed | 13.0% | 104th |
| Yards per carry allowed | 5.16 | 91st |
| Yards per attempt allowed | 8.05 | 93rd |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 112th |
| 3rd downs allowed | 46.8% | 125th |
How good is Missouri State's offensive line?
Big Uglies, our offensive line rating, has Missouri State at 46.1, 104th of 138 (50 is average). It's 105th in adjusted line yards per carry (2.85), gets stuffed on 18.1% of runs (76th fewest) and converts 68.8% of short-yardage runs (94th).
| Stat | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 46.1 | 104th |
| Line yards per carry (adjusted) | 2.85 | 105th |
| Stuff rate (runs stopped at or behind the line) | 18.1% | 76th |
| Power success (short yardage) | 68.8% | 94th |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.6% | 72nd |
| Open-field yards per carry (adjusted) | 1.04 | 97th |
How good is Missouri State's defensive line?
Big Uglies has Missouri State's defensive front at 41.3, 121st of 138. It gives up 3.17 adjusted line yards per carry (124th), stuffs 16.0% of runs (107th) and gets a sack on 4.3% of dropbacks (112th).
| Stat | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 41.3 | 121st |
| Line yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 3.17 | 124th |
| Stuff rate (defense) | 16.0% | 107th |
| Power success allowed | 73.8% | 88th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 112th |
| Front-seven havoc | 8.0% | 110th |
Are Missouri State's backs actually good, or is it all the offensive line?
Missouri State's line is 105th of 138 in adjusted line yards per carry (2.85), the part of each run it earns. Its backs are 97th in adjusted open-field yards (1.04), the part they earn past 10 yards. A bit of both, with neither carrying the run game.
Missouri State football players: the stat leaders
Anthony Mattison (S), Antonio Smith (S), Breylon McCuller (DE), Connor Lair (RB), Dillon Hipp (TE), Gilles Tchio (DL), Henry Belin IV (QB), Isaiah Myers (WR), J.J. O'Neal (S), Jambres Dubar (RB), Jared Lloyd (LB), Jashawn Cooper (LB), Jeron Askren (TE), Jmariyae Robinson (WR), Joel Boamah (CB), Joshua Lukusa (DE), Malik Ganaway (CB), Martavis Blackmon (LB), Mekhi Miller (WR), Ramone Green Jr. (RB), Skyler Locklear (QB), Stratton Shufelt (LB), Tim Brantley Jr. (DL).
Missouri State football results, 2026
| Week | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Texas A&M | L 0–50 |
| 2 | vs. Lindenwood | W 48–14 |
| 3 | vs. Marshall | L 24–30 |
| 4 | at SMU | L 24–34 |
| 6 | at Western Kentucky | L 13–34 |
| 7 | vs. Kennesaw State | W 24–21 |
| 8 | at Delaware | L 38–61 |
Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams. Stats from play-by-play; scoring counts FBS opponents only. Compare Missouri State with any team.
Questions about Missouri State
What is Missouri State's record?
Missouri State is 2–5, 1–2 in the Conference USA, with games through Oct 24, 2026.
Is Missouri State good this year?
Missouri State is 128th of 138 in SP+, Bill Connelly's rating (bottom 20), 121st in PRIME and 123rd in Elo. They aren't in the AP Top 25.
Who does Missouri State play this week?
Missouri State hosts Sam Houston, Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET. The numbers' pick: Missouri State.
What is Missouri State's best win?
Kennesaw State, 24–21 in Week 7. Kennesaw State is 1–6 and 120th in SP+.
What is Missouri State's 2026 football schedule?
Week 1: at Texas A&M (L 0–50); Week 2: vs. Lindenwood (W 48–14); Week 3: vs. Marshall (L 24–30); Week 4: at SMU (L 24–34); Week 6: at Western Kentucky (L 13–34); Week 7: vs. Kennesaw State (W 24–21); Week 8: at Delaware (L 38–61); Week 9: vs. Sam Houston; Week 10: at Florida International; Week 11: vs. New Mexico State; Week 12: at Jacksonville State; Week 13: vs. Liberty.
When does Missouri State play next, and what channel is it on?
Against Sam Houston at home, Tue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM ET, at Plaster Sports Complex. It's on ESPN2.
What was the score of Missouri State's last game?
Missouri State lost to Delaware 61–38 on Tue, Oct 20 on the road.
Who is Missouri State's quarterback?
Henry Belin IV has thrown the most for Missouri State this season: 1,095 passing yards through Oct 24, 2026.
Where does Missouri State play its home games?
Plaster Sports Complex.
Where is Missouri State ranked?
Unranked in the latest AP poll. 128th of 138 in SP+, 121st in PRIME and 123rd in Elo.
How many national championships has Missouri State won?
Missouri State hasn't won a major-college national championship.
How many conference championships has Missouri State won?
Missouri State has won 10 conference championships, most recently the Missouri Valley Football Conference in 2020. Missouri State has 3 Missouri Valley Football Conference titles.
How good is Missouri State?
SP+, PRIME and Elo agree: Missouri State is a bottom-20 team (128th, 121st and 123rd). Missouri State has played one of the softest schedules so far (119th in PRIME).
What is Missouri State bad at?
Missouri State gets thrown on: 0.31 EPA per pass allowed, opponent-adjusted, 129th of 138. Missouri State can't run the ball: −0.02 EPA per rush, opponent-adjusted, 126th of 138. Missouri State can't get off the field on 3rd down: opponents convert 46.8% of their 3rd downs, 125th of 138.
How good is Missouri State's offensive line?
Big Uglies, our offensive line rating, has Missouri State at 46.1, 104th of 138 (50 is average). It's 105th in adjusted line yards per carry (2.85), gets stuffed on 18.1% of runs (76th fewest) and converts 68.8% of short-yardage runs (94th).
How good is Missouri State's defensive line?
Big Uglies has Missouri State's defensive front at 41.3, 121st of 138. It gives up 3.17 adjusted line yards per carry (124th), stuffs 16.0% of runs (107th) and gets a sack on 4.3% of dropbacks (112th).
Are Missouri State's backs actually good, or is it all the offensive line?
Missouri State's line is 105th of 138 in adjusted line yards per carry (2.85), the part of each run it earns. Its backs are 97th in adjusted open-field yards (1.04), the part they earn past 10 yards. A bit of both, with neither carrying the run game.
Who is Missouri State's head coach?
Casey Woods, in his first season.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
Where the data comes from
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
| DraftKings lines (via The Odds API and CollegeFootballData.com) | The line and total on each game, and where each opened | Every morning, and before kickoffs Thursday to Saturday |
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| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
| us-atlas (U.S. Census Bureau boundaries) | State shapes for the map | Once |
How we turn it into projections
- Projected score. Each team's SP+ offense, plus how far the opponent's SP+ defense is from average, plus special teams. The home team gets half of a 2.5-point home edge added and the visitor half subtracted.
- Win chance. The projected margin turned into a probability, assuming games usually land within about 14 points of the projection. A 0-point margin is 50%; 14 points is about 84%.
- The three ratings. SP+ is built from every play this season. PRIME is a possession-efficiency rating. Elo uses only final scores and carries over from year to year, with 55 Elo points of home edge.
- The numbers' pick. The team at least two of the three ratings favor, with our confidence the average of their three win chances for that team. On the game cards, a pick is a lock when all three favor the same team and the average win chance is 80% or more, a coin flip when it's under 55%, and a lean otherwise. Injuries can drop the tier: each key player out counts by what he does for his team (a starting quarterback is 2 points, the feature back or top receiver half a point, doubtful counts half), the other side's injuries offset, and 1 point drops a tier, 2 points two. The game page shows it as an injury alert. Nobody overrides the numbers' pick.
- CFB Charts Top 25. SP+, PRIME and strength of record, each converted to a common scale and averaged.
- Playoff picture. The 2026-27 rules: automatic bids for the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions (the current conference leader stands in until the title games) and for the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt. Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12. The rest are at-large teams by the chosen rating, and all 12 are seeded straight by that rating, so the top four get the byes. Once the committee's rankings are out (first release Tuesday, Nov. 3), they become the default ranking.
- Missing data. When a team's play-by-play is clearly incomplete (fewer than 45 offensive plays a game), we hide its offense stats instead of showing bad numbers.
Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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Every stat and term on the site, explained like you're five. Or like you're a grown adult who never asked what EPA means and is now too embarrassed to.
Ratings and advanced stats
What the numbers on team pages, charts and head to head mean.
- SP+
- Bill Connelly's rating, built from play-by-play efficiency and explosiveness and adjusted for who each team played. The number is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. SP+ 20 beats SP+ 10 by about 10.
- PRIME
- A rating built possession by possession: how well a team turns drives into points and keeps opponents from doing the same, adjusted for opponents. Zero is an average FBS team.
- Elo
- A results-only rating. Every team has a number, 1500 is average, and the winner takes points from the loser after every game. Beat a great team and you take a lot. Beat a bad one and you take a few. It carries part of last season over, so it's slow to catch a team that changed.
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- How impressive a record is, given who a team played: how many more games it won than an average team would have against the same schedule. It grades the resume. SP+ and PRIME grade how good the team is.
- Strength of schedule
- How hard a team's opponents have been so far.
- Opponent-adjusted
- Corrected for who a team played. Hanging 50 on an FCS team counts for less than hanging 30 on Georgia.
- EPA (expected points added)
- Every down, distance and spot on the field is worth some number of points on average. 1st and 10 at the opponent's 20 is worth a lot more than 3rd and 15 at your own 10. EPA is how much one play changed that number. A 50-yard bomb is a big plus. A pick-six is a very big minus.
- EPA per play
- A team's average EPA across all its plays. For an offense, above zero means it adds points and higher is better. For a defense, lower is better.
- Success rate
- The share of plays that keep an offense on schedule: half the yards needed on 1st down, 70% of them on 2nd, all of them on 3rd and 4th. A 4-yard run on 1st and 10 is a success. A 4-yard run on 3rd and 6 isn't.
- Explosive play rate
- The share of plays that go for a run of 12 or more yards or a completion of 16 or more.
- Yards per play
- Total yards divided by plays: runs, passes and sacks.
- Sack rate
- Sacks divided by dropbacks. For an offense, lower is better. For a pass rush, higher is better.
- Turnover margin
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- RECEIPTS
- Record Explained: Coaching, Experience, Incoming talent, Pure luck and Toughness of Schedule. Where a team's wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. The record above or below .500 gets split four ways that add up to the real record: schedule (what an average team would win against that schedule), roster (the wins its talent and returning starters are worth on paper), coach (wins from playing better or worse than that roster) and luck (actual wins against the wins its SP+ says it should have). On team pages and in two charts.
- Schedule, Roster, Coach and Luck RECEIPTS
- The four parts of RECEIPTS. Schedule: what an average team would win against that schedule, minus .500. Roster: the extra wins from a roster this good on paper (247Sports talent and returning production). Coach: wins from playing better or worse than that roster should. Luck: actual wins against the wins SP+ expects. Recruiting rankings undersell the service academies, so their coaches get extra credit.
- Luck watch
- A tag for a team whose Luck RECEIPTS is 1.5 wins or more either way: "Lucky +2.4" or "Unlucky −1.6." Its record runs ahead of (or behind) how it's played, and lines and polls often follow records.
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- The wins a team should have, adding up its win chance in every game it played. Winning more than that usually means a lot of close wins, and close wins are mostly luck.
- Talent composite and blue-chip ratio
- 247Sports' score for a roster, built from every player's recruiting rating, with the best players counting most. The blue-chip ratio is the share of the roster that were 4- or 5-star recruits.
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How the picks, tiers and projections work. The full method is on Sources and methods.
- Projected score
- Each team's SP+ offense, adjusted for how good the other team's defense is, plus special teams. The home team gets 2.5 points of home edge, split between the two scores.
- Win chance
- The projected margin turned into a percentage, assuming games usually land within about 14 points of the projection. A tie projection is 50%. A 14-point favorite is about 84%.
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- The team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor. The confidence is the average of their three win chances. Nobody overrides it.
- Lock, Lean, Coin flip and Stay away
- How sure the numbers are about a straight-up pick. Lock: SP+, PRIME and Elo all favor the same team and the average win chance is 80% or more. Lean: the ratings favor the team, but not that strongly or not all three. Coin flip: the average win chance is under 55%. Stay away: injuries take the pick down. Key players count by what they do for the team: a starting quarterback out is 2 points, the feature back, top receiver or top pass rusher half a point, the No. 2 receiver or playmaker a quarter, and a short-handed line or secondary half a point. Doubtful counts half. When the picked team's points, minus the other side's, reach 1, the pick drops a tier (a Lock to a Lean, a Lean or Coin flip to Stay away); at 2 it drops two.
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Beating the trend
Trailing the trend
Projected scores come from SP+ offense, defense and special teams, plus 2.5 points for the home team. Cards also show DraftKings' line and total as facts: we pick winners, not bets. Open Details for the full read, or Head to head for every stat.
This week
Final scores against what we said before kickoff. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favored. Ranked means in that week's AP poll. Open a game for the full preview as it stood going into the week.
Last week
All-time picks record
Straight-up picks: did the pick win? The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor. The numbers' and SP+ picks start in Week 8; Elo picks go back to Week 1.
Week by week
Each column is that week's ranking. Arrows compare the latest poll to the week before. NR means not ranked.
Rankings come from cfbtrack.com. Week 1 is the preseason poll; each later week is the poll released before that week's games.
Over time
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Rank
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Compare
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SP+ vs. payroll is the average, across a conference's teams with an NIL valuation (positive means its teams play better than their payrolls predict). Blue-chip ratio is the share of all its rostered players who were 4- or 5-star recruits.
Ranks are national, out of 138 FBS teams. A top-10 team also counts toward the top 25 and top 40, and everyone outside the last cutoff counts as weak. Open a conference to see its teams.
Conference depth
Projected bracket
Seeds 1–4 get first-round byes. Seeds 5–8 host the first round.
The field and the bubble
The columns on the right show where each team would be seeded under the other ratings. A dash means out.
How the field is built
- 12 teams. Five get in automatically: the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions, plus the highest-ranked team from the American, Conference USA, MAC, Mountain West, Pac-12 or Sun Belt (champion or not).
- Notre Dame is in if it ranks in the top 12.
- At-large. The remaining spots go to the highest-ranked teams left. If an automatic qualifier ranks outside the top 12, it takes the last at-large spot.
- Seeding follows the ranking, as it has since 2025. A conference champion isn't guaranteed a bye.
- Champions mid-season. "Current conference leader" uses the best conference record so far, with ties broken by the chosen rating. "Highest-rated team" picks the best-rated team in each conference instead.
- Composite averages SP+, PRIME and strength of record after putting each on a common scale.
- This is a projection from today's numbers. The real field is chosen by a committee on Dec. 6, after conference title games.
How we picked it
How we picked it
Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.
Where the game is won
Where the game is won
Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.
Injuries and availability
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
The teams in charts
The players in charts
FAQ
Keep going
Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.