This week's picks

Illinois vs. Michigan State 2026 Recap

College Football Charts
Data updatedOct 31, 2026
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Picks two teams at random. Any FBS team can come up.

How we picked it

How we picked it

Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of them favor.

Where the game is won

Where the game is won

Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.

Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.

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Illinois at Michigan State, Week 6

Final: Illinois 38, Michigan State 37. Elo pick: Illinois (correct).

Illinois and Michigan State: team pages with every stat and national rank. Every Week 6 game, graded.

Illinois at Michigan State, Week 6: questions people ask

Who won Illinois vs. Michigan State, and what was the score?

Illinois beat Michigan State 38–37 on Sat, Oct 10 at Spartan Stadium.

Did Elo get Illinois at Michigan State right?

Yes. Elo picked Illinois, 61% chance to win going in.

What decided Illinois at Michigan State?

Illinois had a 51% success rate to Michigan State's 50%. Michigan State hit more big plays: 10% of its plays were explosive (runs of 12+ yards, passes of 16+), to 8%.

Illinois vs. Michigan State player stats: who had the big game?

Alessio Milivojevic (Michigan State) threw for 196 yards, Jaziun Patterson (Michigan State) ran for 93 yards, and Hudson Clement (Illinois) had 105 receiving yards.

Who didn't play in Illinois at Michigan State?

Michigan State played without Camryn Edwards (feature back).

What's the Illinois–Michigan State series record now?

Michigan State leads 27–21–2.