College football, 2026 season
Stats and data viz for all 138 FBS teams and 3,000+ players. Find out who's good, who's lucky and who's paying for it. Then use box scores, advanced stats and anything else we could get our hands on to build charts that support your takes.
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Everything on this site starts with someone else's data, and we credit all of it. The projections, picks, rankings and tiers are our own math on top.
| Source | What we use | How often |
|---|---|---|
| CollegeFootballData.com, via the public cfbfastR files | Schedules, final scores, pregame Elo, play-by-play and box score stats, rosters | Usually posted Sunday or Monday morning after games |
| DraftKings lines (via The Odds API and CollegeFootballData.com) | The line and total on each game, and where each opened | Every morning, and before kickoffs Thursday to Saturday |
| Team logos and colors (ESPN's, via CollegeFootballData.com) | The logos on charts, game cards and team pages. They belong to the schools and are used only to identify the teams. | Preseason |
| SP+ by Bill Connelly (CFB Update) | Overall, offense, defense and special teams ratings | Weekly |
| PRIME (primecfb.com) | Net, offense, defense and special teams ratings, strength of schedule, strength of record | Weekly |
| AP Top 25 (via NCAA.com) | Rankings and points, including others receiving votes | Sunday afternoons |
| AFCA Coaches Poll (via Yahoo Sports, CBS Sports, SI) | Rankings and points, including others receiving votes | Sundays |
| 247Sports | Team talent composite, star counts, 2026 transfer portal rankings | Preseason |
| The NIL Standard | Estimated NIL roster values | Preseason |
| us-atlas (U.S. Census Bureau boundaries) | State shapes for the map | Once |
Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of the 138 FBS teams.
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Every stat and term on the site, explained like you're five. Or like you're a grown adult who never asked what EPA means and is now too embarrassed to.
What the numbers on team pages, charts and head to head mean.
How the picks, tiers and projections work. The full method is on Sources and methods.
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Last updated October 26, 2026.
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Last updated October 30, 2026.
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About
College Football Charts is a college football stats site: a pick for every FBS game, head to heads across 75+ stats, the playoff picture, and charts you can bend to support any narrative (except Big 12 supremacy).
Every FBS team, player and game gets its own page, with national ranks, the ratings people argue about (SP+, PRIME and Elo) and charts you can share. The rivalry pages carry the series history. The tools let you build your own Top 25, your own 12-team playoff field and your own charts.
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We don't make the ratings; we put them side by side. SP+ is Bill Connelly's. SUPLEX is Nate Tice's. The play-by-play comes from CollegeFootballData.com and cfbfastR. The full list, and how we turn it into picks, is on Sources and methods.
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Projected scores come from SP+ offense, defense and special teams, plus 2.5 points for the home team. Cards also show DraftKings' line and total as facts: we pick winners, not bets. Open Details for the full read, or Head to head for every stat.
Final scores against what we said before kickoff. The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favored. Ranked means in that week's AP poll. Open a game for the full preview as it stood going into the week.
Straight-up picks: did the pick win? The numbers' pick is the team at least two of SP+, PRIME and Elo favor. The numbers' and SP+ picks start in Week 8; Elo picks go back to Week 1.
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SP+ vs. payroll is the average, across a conference's teams with an NIL valuation (positive means its teams play better than their payrolls predict). Blue-chip ratio is the share of all its rostered players who were 4- or 5-star recruits.
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Injuries and availability
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
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Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.
Week 9, Fri, Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET, FBC Mortgage Stadium.
The numbers say: Baylor, 54% to win.
| Kickoff | Fri, Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET |
|---|---|
| TV | ESPN |
| Where | FBC Mortgage Stadium |
| Weather | 76°, cloudy, wind 9 mph |
| Line | Baylor −1.5, total 49.5 |
| Line movement | Opened UCF −1.5; moved 3 points toward Baylor. |
| Series | Baylor leads 2–1 |
| Last meeting | Baylor 30–3 in 2025 |
| Margin | Win chance | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ | Baylor by 1.5 | 54% | 47 |
| PRIME | UCF by 2.6 | 57% | |
| Elo | Baylor | 62% | |
| The line | Baylor −1.5, opened UCF −1.5 | 49.5 |
Margins include home field. SP+ is Bill Connelly's rating; Sources has PRIME and Elo. Line and total from DraftKings, as of Fri, Oct 30, 3:56 PM ET.
The numbers say: Baylor. 53% chance to win
The ratings split and average out to about 50-50, with Baylor ahead by a hair. Baylor's best matchup is its run-stopping front, 49th in line yards allowed per carry, against UCF's offensive line at 119th. UCF's way back in is its run-stopping front, 13th in line yards allowed per carry, against Baylor's offensive line at 112th. We left out the edges built on Taevion Swint, who's out.
Each chart puts all 138 FBS teams on two stats; Baylor and UCF are lit. Dashed lines are the FBS averages, and up and right is better. Ranks in parentheses. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
The scatter charts show the top 40 FBS players at the position by both stats combined, plus the players lit here. Dashed lines are the averages; up and right is better. Ranks are among every FBS player at the position with enough snaps. Takeaways are interceptions plus fumble recoveries. Games through Oct 24, 2026.
On a neutral field, SP+ has Baylor 4.0 points better (43rd to 56th). PRIME has UCF by 0.1 instead. Elo, which only sees results, also has Baylor ahead (45th to 72nd).
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ overall | 8.5 (43rd) | 4.5 (56th) |
| SP+ offense | 28.0 (59th) | 27.2 (63rd) |
| SP+ defense | 20.0 (29th) | 22.8 (43rd) |
| SP+ special teams | 0.4 (11th) | 0.1 (54th) |
| PRIME net | 6.2 (41st) | 6.3 (39th) |
| PRIME offense | -1.14 (75th) | 2.20 (45th) |
| PRIME defense | 6.48 (22nd) | 4.41 (33rd) |
| PRIME SOS | -0.7 (51st) | 3.0 (16th) |
| PRIME SOR | 0.4 (54th) | 1.0 (40th) |
| Elo | 1614 (45th) | 1477 (72nd) |
Opponent-adjusted power ratings. These drive the projection.
Baylor's offense ranks 67th in adjusted EPA per play, and the UCF defense it faces ranks 31st in EPA per play allowed. UCF's offense ranks 63rd against Baylor's 18th-ranked defense. Both defenses have the edge on the offenses they face. Adjust for opponents and Baylor's offense climbs from 88th to 67th in EPA per play: it has done its work against good defenses.
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play (adjusted) | +0.11 (67th) | +0.11 (63rd) |
| EPA per pass (adjusted) | +0.20 (63rd) | +0.22 (46th) |
| EPA per rush (adjusted) | +0.03 (101st) | +0.03 (104th) |
| Success rate (adjusted) | 38.9% (105th) | 43.0% (52nd) |
| Success rate, standard downs (adjusted) | 43.0% (125th) | 46.1% (78th) |
| Success rate, passing downs (adjusted) | 30.0% (78th) | 32.1% (35th) |
| Explosiveness (adjusted) | 0.94 (51st) | 0.91 (121st) |
| Line yards per carry (adjusted) | 2.81 (112th) | 2.78 (119th) |
| Open-field yards per carry (adjusted) | 1.08 (86th) | 1.15 (61st) |
| EPA per play allowed (adjusted) | +0.03 (18th) | +0.05 (31st) |
| EPA per pass allowed (adjusted) | +0.11 (20th) | +0.17 (56th) |
| EPA per rush allowed (adjusted) | −0.00 (20th) | +0.01 (25th) |
| Success rate allowed (adjusted) | 39.2% (32nd) | 39.8% (39th) |
| Explosiveness allowed (adjusted) | 0.93 (48th) | 0.89 (10th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 2.89 (49th) | 2.72 (13th) |
| Open-field yards allowed per carry (adjusted) | 0.96 (20th) | 1.01 (39th) |
The same efficiency numbers, adjusted for the offenses and defenses each team has faced (CollegeFootballData.com). A good number against a soft schedule shrinks; one against a hard schedule grows.
Baylor is better throwing (82nd in EPA per pass) than running (111th). UCF's pass defense ranks 66th. UCF is about as good throwing (87th in EPA per pass) as running (101st).
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.09 (88th) | +0.10 (83rd) |
| EPA per pass | +0.18 (82nd) | +0.17 (87th) |
| EPA per rush | +0.01 (111th) | +0.03 (101st) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play | +0.42 (84th) | +0.40 (88th) |
| EPA per play allowed | −0.06 (9th) | +0.03 (36th) |
| EPA per pass allowed | +0.01 (15th) | +0.16 (66th) |
| EPA per rush allowed | −0.12 (10th) | −0.06 (21st) |
| EPA per 3rd-down play allowed | +0.28 (35th) | +0.31 (42nd) |
Expected points added per play, from CollegeFootballData.com. EPA measures how much each play changes the points a team can expect from the drive. Zero is break-even; +0.20 is very good. Not adjusted for opponents.
Baylor outscores FBS opponents by 13.0 a game, and UCF by 9.7. Baylor's offense ranks 66th in scoring, and the UCF defense it faces ranks 58th in points allowed. UCF's offense ranks 45th against Baylor's 19th-ranked defense. Neither side of the ball has a clear edge.
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored | 29.1 (66th) | 32.7 (45th) |
| Points allowed | 16.1 (19th) | 23.0 (58th) |
Per game, FBS opponents only.
Baylor has no clear edge here. Its best is 3rd down conversion rate, 73rd, against a defense ranked 69th in 3rd down conversions allowed. UCF has no clear edge here. Its best is 3rd down conversion rate, 52nd, against a defense ranked 45th in 3rd down conversions allowed.
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards / game | 275.1 (26th) | 209.4 (91st) |
| Rush yards / game | 164.7 (71st) | 164.9 (70th) |
| Yards per play | 5.45 (119th) | 6.37 (52nd) |
| Yards per carry | 4.65 (105th) | 5.27 (65th) |
| Yards per attempt | 6.36 (113th) | 8.01 (52nd) |
| Completion % | 52.5% (119th) | 76.5% (7th) |
| Success rate | 37.4% (122nd) | 45.5% (50th) |
| Explosive play rate | 11.2% (97th) | 12.7% (56th) |
| 3rd down conversion | 39.7% (73rd) | 43.2% (52nd) |
| Sack rate (taken) | 4.4% (43rd) | 4.7% (47th) |
| INT rate (thrown) | 2.3% (69th) | 2.2% (62nd) |
| SUPLEX | 46.3% (125th) | 57.6% (57th) |
Per game and per play, from play-by-play.
Baylor's defense is best placed to stop the run: it ranks 23rd in yards per carry allowed, and UCF's offense is middle of the pack in yards per carry (65th). UCF's defense is best placed to stop the run: it ranks 10th in yards per carry allowed, and Baylor's offense is bottom-40 in yards per carry (105th). That's a mismatch.
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards allowed / game | 238.0 (107th) | 241.6 (109th) |
| Rush yards allowed / game | 127.4 (36th) | 129.3 (38th) |
| Yards per play allowed | 5.26 (32nd) | 5.11 (22nd) |
| Yards per carry allowed | 4.09 (23rd) | 3.83 (10th) |
| Yards per attempt allowed | 6.94 (62nd) | 6.50 (44th) |
| Success rate allowed | 36.6% (27th) | 38.4% (47th) |
| Explosive plays allowed | 10.1% (42nd) | 9.3% (20th) |
| 3rd downs allowed | 35.3% (45th) | 38.6% (69th) |
| Sack rate (generated) | 10.4% (7th) | 4.4% (108th) |
| INT rate (generated) | 3.3% (34th) | 2.7% (61st) |
| SUPLEX allowed | 48.2% (29th) | 50.0% (41st) |
What opponents managed against them.
Baylor has the better number in 8 of 12. The biggest gap is front-seven havoc, where Baylor ranks 11th and UCF 98th.
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| Big Uglies: offensive line | 48.3 (86th) | 45.0 (110th) |
| Big Uglies: defensive front | 60.2 (12th) | 52.0 (54th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.74 (113th) | 2.73 (116th) |
| Line yards allowed per carry | 2.73 (44th) | 2.51 (9th) |
| Second-level yards per carry | 0.77 (132nd) | 1.03 (88th) |
| Open-field yards per carry | 1.06 (85th) | 1.26 (62nd) |
| Stuff rate (runs stopped at or behind the line) | 18.1% (77th) | 19.0% (91st) |
| Stuff rate (defense) | 21.6% (33rd) | 19.2% (67th) |
| Power success (short yardage) | 72.7% (66th) | 61.3% (126th) |
| Power success allowed | 58.3% (11th) | 66.7% (39th) |
| Front-seven havoc allowed | 9.4% (79th) | 9.3% (77th) |
| Front-seven havoc | 12.9% (11th) | 8.4% (98th) |
The lines. Big Uglies is our rating for each offensive line and each defensive front: adjusted line yards (30%), stuff rate (20%), power success (15%), sack rate (20%) and front-seven havoc (15%), against every FBS team. 50 is average, and every 10 points is a standard deviation. Line stats from CollegeFootballData.com, garbage time out.
UCF is +0.7 in turnover margin a game and Baylor is +0.3. At about five points a turnover, that's roughly a 2-point edge for UCF. Turnover margin rarely holds from one month to the next, so don't count on it. Fumble recoveries are mostly luck, and UCF's takeaways lean on them (0.7 of 1.7 a game).
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions thrown / game | 1.00 (105th) | 0.57 (40th) |
| Fumbles lost / game | 0.57 (74th) | 0.43 (53rd) |
| Giveaways / game | 1.57 (107th) | 1.00 (36th) |
| Interceptions / game | 1.14 (14th) | 1.00 (22nd) |
| Fumbles recovered / game | 0.71 (24th) | 0.71 (24th) |
| Takeaways / game | 1.86 (11th) | 1.71 (16th) |
| Turnover margin / game | +0.3 (50th) | +0.7 (17th) |
Per game, from play-by-play.
Baylor has the more talented roster (43rd in the 247Sports talent composite; UCF is 66th). Baylor also plays further above its talent: +4.7 points of SP+ beyond what its roster predicts, to UCF's +3.9.
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| Talent composite | 723.3 (43rd) | 672.1 (66th) |
| Blue-chip ratio | 22.0% (36th) | 21.3% (38th) |
| Players on roster | 111 (67th) | 108 (87th) |
| Rated by 247Sports | 82 (52nd) | 61 (118th) |
| 5-star players | 1 (24th) | 0 (37th) |
| 4-star players | 17 (38th) | 13 (46th) |
| 3-star players | 63 (61st) | 47 (110th) |
| Below 3-star | 1 (86th) | 1 (86th) |
| 2026 transfers in | 30 (31st) | 32 (24th) |
| Transfer share | 36.6% (40th) | 52.5% (17th) |
| SP+ vs. talent | +4.7 (40th) | +3.9 (46th) |
| Returning production | 60.2% (40th) | 24.8% (92nd) |
| Returning passing production | 77.7% (55th) | 3.9% (97th) |
| Returning rushing production | 67.7% (51st) | -16.8% (127th) |
| Returning receiving production | 46.9% (53rd) | 58.0% (31st) |
| 2026 recruiting class (national rank) | 57 (57th) | 66 (66th) |
| Recruiting rank, last four classes | 48.8 (47th) | 57.5 (58th) |
247Sports team talent composite and 2026 transfer portal class. Star counts cover only the players 247Sports rates, not walk-ons, so they add up to less than the full roster. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams.
Baylor's roster is valued at $19.8M, UCF's at $18.7M. Baylor also plays better per dollar: +3.5 points of SP+ above what its payroll predicts, to +0.8 for UCF.
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| Roster value | $19.8M (56th) | $18.7M (63rd) |
| Roster cost per win | $5.0M (27th) | $4.7M (24th) |
| Projected wins per $1M | 0.36 (14th) | 0.34 (22nd) |
| SP+ vs. payroll | +3.5 (20th) | +0.8 (36th) |
NIL roster value from The NIL Standard (power-conference teams plus Boise State and Oregon State). Ranks are out of 70 teams with a valuation.
Baylor is +0.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is luck (−1.0). UCF is +0.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is schedule (−0.7). Baylor's record is 1.0 wins worse than its play on bad luck, so it's better than the record says.
| Baylor | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| RECEIPTS (total) | +0.5 (57th) | +0.5 (57th) |
| Schedule RECEIPTS | +0.3 (78th) | -0.7 (121st) |
| Roster RECEIPTS | +0.6 (34th) | +0.0 (66th) |
| Coach RECEIPTS | +0.7 (39th) | +0.5 (50th) |
| Luck RECEIPTS | -1.0 (120th) | +0.7 (29th) |
Where the wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. Then each win (or loss) goes to the schedule, the roster, the coaching or luck, and the four add up to the real record. Wins above or below a .500 team.
The numbers pick Baylor, 53% chance to win. SP+ and Elo agree; PRIME has UCF. Baylor's best matchup is its run-stopping front, 49th in line yards allowed per carry, against UCF's offensive line at 119th.
Fri, Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET at FBC Mortgage Stadium. It's on ESPN.
SP+ projects Baylor 24–23. That's from this season's SP+ offense, defense and special teams ratings, with home field worth 2.5 points.
DraftKings has Baylor −1.5, total 49.5. The numbers pick winners, not bets.
Baylor leads 2–1. Last meeting: Baylor won 30–3 in 2025.
Baylor: D.J. Lagway (1,362 passing yards), Dawson Pendergrass (332 rushing yards) and Gavin Freeman (694 receiving yards). UCF: Keyone Jenkins (1,123 passing yards), Duke Watson (532 rushing yards) and Joshua Derry (366 receiving yards). Season totals through Oct 24, 2026.
Baylor's is D.J. Lagway (1,362 passing yards this season); UCF's is Keyone Jenkins (1,123 passing yards this season).
Numbers through the games of Oct 24, 2026. SP+ as of Oct 27, 2026. Updated every week.
Baylor and UCF: team pages with every stat and national rank. Compare any two teams.