College Football Rankings by SP+ Expected Wins So Far, 2026

James Madison ranks first in FBS in sP+ expected wins so far at 8.0, ahead of Indiana (7.6) and Miami (7.4). The middle of FBS is about 4.6, and UTEP is last of 138 (1.3).

Games through Oct 31, 2026. Ranks are among the 138 FBS teams with the number.

Every FBS team by sP+ expected wins so far

Rank	Team	Conference	SP+ expected wins so far
1	James Madison	Sun Belt	8.0
2	Indiana	Big Ten	7.6
3	Miami	ACC	7.4
4	North Dakota State	Mountain West	7.4
5	Notre Dame	Independents	7.4
6	Georgia	SEC	7.3
7	LSU	SEC	7.2
8	Memphis	American Athletic	7.2
9	Utah	Big 12	7.0
10	Liberty	Conference USA	6.8
11	Ohio State	Big Ten	6.8
12	New Mexico	Mountain West	6.7
13	Texas Tech	Big 12	6.7
14	SMU	ACC	6.5
15	UCLA	Big Ten	6.5
16	Toledo	Mid-American	6.5
17	Arizona	Big 12	6.3
18	Virginia Tech	ACC	6.2
19	South Florida	American Athletic	6.2
20	Tennessee	SEC	6.2
21	Nebraska	Big Ten	6.1
22	USC	Big Ten	6.1
23	BYU	Big 12	6.1
24	Boise State	Pac-12	6.1
25	Ohio	Mid-American	6.0
26	Pittsburgh	ACC	6.0
27	Alabama	SEC	6.0
28	Missouri	SEC	5.9
29	Kansas State	Big 12	5.9
30	Northwestern	Big Ten	5.9
31	Texas	SEC	5.9
32	Oklahoma State	Big 12	5.9
33	Louisiana	Sun Belt	5.8
34	Louisville	ACC	5.8
35	Wake Forest	ACC	5.8
36	Duke	ACC	5.8
37	UConn	Independents	5.7
38	Oregon State	Pac-12	5.7
39	Western Michigan	Mid-American	5.7
40	Virginia	ACC	5.6
41	Baylor	Big 12	5.6
42	Oregon	Big Ten	5.4
43	Michigan	Big Ten	5.4
44	Washington	Big Ten	5.4
45	TCU	Big 12	5.4
46	Iowa	Big Ten	5.3
47	UTSA	American Athletic	5.3
48	Penn State	Big Ten	5.3
49	Fresno State	Pac-12	5.2
50	Jacksonville State	Conference USA	5.2
51	Houston	Big 12	5.1
52	Air Force	Mountain West	5.1
53	Army	American Athletic	5.0
54	Miami (OH)	Mid-American	5.0
55	Nevada	Mountain West	5.0
56	Illinois	Big Ten	4.9
57	Ole Miss	SEC	4.9
58	Massachusetts	Mid-American	4.8
59	Texas State	Pac-12	4.7
60	Wyoming	Mountain West	4.7
61	Florida Atlantic	American Athletic	4.7
62	South Carolina	SEC	4.7
63	Texas A&M	SEC	4.7
64	App State	Sun Belt	4.7
65	UNLV	Mountain West	4.6
66	East Carolina	American Athletic	4.6
67	Kentucky	SEC	4.6
68	Louisiana Tech	Sun Belt	4.6
69	North Texas	American Athletic	4.6
70	Tulsa	American Athletic	4.6
71	Cincinnati	Big 12	4.5
72	Wisconsin	Big Ten	4.4
73	Georgia State	Sun Belt	4.3
74	NC State	ACC	4.3
75	Arkansas State	Sun Belt	4.2
76	Clemson	ACC	4.2
77	Marshall	Sun Belt	4.1
78	Florida	SEC	4.1
79	Buffalo	Mid-American	4.1
80	Minnesota	Big Ten	4.1
81	Troy	Sun Belt	4.1
82	Florida International	Conference USA	4.0
83	Navy	American Athletic	4.0
84	Oklahoma	SEC	4.0
85	Florida State	ACC	3.9
86	Eastern Michigan	Mid-American	3.9
87	UCF	Big 12	3.8
88	Georgia Tech	ACC	3.8
89	Kansas	Big 12	3.8
90	Georgia Southern	Sun Belt	3.7
91	San José State	Mountain West	3.7
92	West Virginia	Big 12	3.6
93	Western Kentucky	Conference USA	3.6
94	Hawai'i	Mountain West	3.6
95	South Alabama	Sun Belt	3.6
96	Delaware	Conference USA	3.6
97	Arizona State	Big 12	3.6
98	Vanderbilt	SEC	3.5
99	Coastal Carolina	Sun Belt	3.5
100	Temple	American Athletic	3.4
101	North Carolina	ACC	3.3
102	Boston College	ACC	3.2
103	Auburn	SEC	3.2
104	Colorado State	Pac-12	3.1
105	Utah State	Pac-12	3.1
106	Bowling Green	Mid-American	3.1
107	San Diego State	Pac-12	3.1
108	Tulane	American Athletic	3.1
109	New Mexico State	Conference USA	3.1
110	Missouri State	Conference USA	3.1
111	Kent State	Mid-American	3.1
112	Iowa State	Big 12	3.1
113	UAB	American Athletic	3.1
114	Kennesaw State	Conference USA	3.0
115	Syracuse	ACC	3.0
116	Middle Tennessee	Conference USA	3.0
117	Mississippi State	SEC	2.9
118	Maryland	Big Ten	2.8
119	Southern Miss	Sun Belt	2.8
120	Rutgers	Big Ten	2.8
121	Ball State	Mid-American	2.7
122	Old Dominion	Sun Belt	2.7
123	Arkansas	SEC	2.7
124	Central Michigan	Mid-American	2.7
125	Purdue	Big Ten	2.7
126	Sam Houston	Conference USA	2.6
127	California	ACC	2.4
128	Stanford	ACC	2.3
129	Michigan State	Big Ten	2.1
130	Rice	American Athletic	2.1
131	Sacramento State	Mid-American	2.0
132	Colorado	Big 12	2.0
133	Akron	Mid-American	2.0
134	Washington State	Pac-12	1.9
135	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	1.9
136	Northern Illinois	Mountain West	1.4
137	Charlotte	American Athletic	1.4
138	UTEP	Mountain West	1.3

The best team in each conference

Sun Belt: James Madison (8.0, 1st); Big Ten: Indiana (7.6, 2nd); ACC: Miami (7.4, 3rd); Mountain West: North Dakota State (7.4, 4th); Independents: Notre Dame (7.4, 5th); SEC: Georgia (7.3, 6th); American Athletic: Memphis (7.2, 8th); Big 12: Utah (7.0, 9th); Conference USA: Liberty (6.8, 10th); Mid-American: Toledo (6.5, 16th); Pac-12: Boise State (6.1, 24th).

College Football Rankings by SP+ Expected Wins So Far, 2026

Every FBS team by sP+ expected wins so far

The best team in each conference

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