Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Prediction and Pick, Week 11 2026
The numbers sayClemson79% chance to win
- Clemson's defense should get off the field on 3rd down. Clemson is top-25 (21st) in 3rd downs allowed, and Georgia Tech is bottom-20 (137th) in 3rd down conversion.
- Clemson's pass defense should win its matchup. Clemson is top-25 (22nd) in EPA per pass allowed, and Georgia Tech is bottom-20 (118th) in EPA per pass.
Updated
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Projected score: Georgia Tech 20, Clemson 29 (total 49).SP+: Clemson by 8.3, 72% chance to win.PRIME: Clemson by 8.3.
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14, 12:30 PM ET
- TV
- CW
- Where
- Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
- Line
- Clemson −13.5, total 47.5
- Line movement
- Total opened 49.5, down 2.
- Series
- Georgia Tech leads 52–34–2
- Last meeting
- Georgia Tech 24–21 in 2025
The ratings and the line
| Margin | Win chance | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ | Clemson by 8.3 | 72% | 49 |
| PRIME | Clemson by 8.3 | 72% | |
| Elo | Clemson | 85% | |
| The line | Clemson −13.5 | 47.5, opened 49.5 |
Margins include home field. SP+ is Bill Connelly's rating; Sources has PRIME and Elo. Line and total from DraftKings, as of Mon, Nov 9, 7:09 AM ET.
Projected vs. what happened
Projected score: SP+, from before kickoff. "Expected" in the game numbers is the average of the offense's numbers and the defense's numbers allowed, in their games before this week. An edge held when the game went the way it pointed.
The pregame preview
What we published before kickoff: the pick, the matchups and every stat as it stood going in.
How we picked it
Who wins, Georgia Tech or Clemson?
Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team they favor on average.
What do the sportsbooks say?
| Sportsbook | Georgia Tech spread | Clemson spread | Over | Under | Georgia Tech moneyline | Clemson moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +13.5 −110 (best price) | −13.5 −110 | 47.5 −115 | 47.5 −105 | +410 | −550 |
| FanDuel | +12.5 −110 | −12.5 −110 (best price) | 47.5 −118 | 47.5 −104 | +375 | −490 (best price) |
| BetMGM | +13 −110 | −13 −108 | 47.5 −115 | 47.5 −105 | +400 | −525 |
| Caesars | +13.5 −112 | −13.5 −110 | 48 −107 | 48 −113 | +400 | −560 |
| ESPN BET | +13.5 −115 | −13.5 −105 | 47.5 −110 (best price) | 47.5 −110 | +475 (best price) | −750 |
| BetRivers | +13 −110 | −13 −113 | 47.5 −115 | 47.5 −108 | +380 | −560 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +13.5 −110 (best price) | −13.5 −110 | 47.5 −115 | 47.5 −105 | +375 | −550 |
| Fanatics | +13.5 −110 (best price) | −13.5 −110 | 48 −110 | 48 −110 (best price) | +410 | −550 |
Odds updated Mon., Nov. 9, 7:09 AM ET. The best price on each bet is marked. Prices move fast, so check the book before you bet. Compare the odds at every sportsbook and build a parlay on CFB Parlay Calculator.
Where the game is won
Which matchups decide Georgia Tech vs. Clemson?
All three ratings favor Clemson, by 8.3 points. Clemson's best matchup is their 3rd down defense, 21st in 3rd downs allowed, against Georgia Tech's 3rd down offense at 137th. Georgia Tech's way back in is their offensive line, 65th in line yards per carry, against Clemson's run-stopping front at 127th.
Georgia Tech with the ball
Clemson with the ball
Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.
Where the data comes from: play-by-play from CollegeFootballData.com (the public cfbfastR files), games through Nov 7, 2026; CollegeFootballData.com advanced stats, games through Nov 7, 2026.
Recent form
How have Georgia Tech and Clemson played lately?
Georgia Tech
1–4 in the last five. Lost 4 straight.
- L 17–44 vs. Louisville Week 10
- L 11–34 at Pittsburgh Week 9
- L 27–49 vs. Boston College Week 8
- L 24–34 at Virginia Tech Week 7
- W 28–25 vs. Duke Week 6
Clemson
3–2 in the last five. Won 2 straight.
- W 18–13 at Syracuse Week 10
- W 36–24 at Florida State Week 9
- L 16–20 vs. Virginia Tech Week 8
- W 37–0 vs. Charleston Southern Week 7
- L 13–41 vs. Miami Week 5
Each team's last five games before this one, most recent first.
Injuries and availability
Who's out for Georgia Tech and Clemson?
Georgia Tech
- Malachi Hosley (RB), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Rahkeem Smith (#3), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Kelvin Hill (#6), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Jordan Boyd (#8), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Savion Riley (#13), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Fenix Felton (#31), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Will Kiker (#39), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Kyle Efford (LB), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Kevin Peay, Jr. (#52), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Courtney Heard (#65), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Markell Samuel (#71), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Ethan Mackenny (#78), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Kentrell Davis (#82), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- A.J. Hoffler (#88), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Shymeik Jones (#96), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Landen Marshall (#97), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Shane Marshall (#24), last game: game time decision (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
Clemson
- Tyler Brown (WR), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Gideon Davidson (RB), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Corian Gipson (#8), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Polo Anderson (#11), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Shavar Young Jr. (#12), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Gordon Sellars III (#19), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Kobe McCloud (#21), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Cole Turner (#22), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- David Eziomume (#24), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Elyjah Thurmon (#52), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Harris Sewell (#55), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Mason Wade (#76), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Braden Wilmes (#79), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
- Markus Strong (#99), last game: out (ACC availability report, game day, Nov 7)
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
The teams in charts
How Georgia Tech and Clemson compare, in charts
Each chart puts all 138 FBS teams on two stats; Georgia Tech and Clemson are lit. Dashed lines are the FBS averages, and up and right is better. Ranks in parentheses. Games through Nov 7, 2026.
The players in charts
How Georgia Tech's and Clemson's players compare
The scatter charts show the top 40 FBS players at the position by both stats combined, plus the players lit here. Dashed lines are the averages; up and right is better. Ranks are among every FBS player at the position with enough snaps. Takeaways are interceptions plus fumble recoveries. Games through Nov 7, 2026.
RatingsClemson 8–2
How do SP+, PRIME and Elo rate Georgia Tech and Clemson?
On a neutral field, SP+ has Clemson 5.8 points better (55th to 75th). PRIME also has Clemson ahead, by 5.8. Elo, which only sees results, also has Clemson ahead (54th to 104th).
Opponent-adjusted power ratings. These drive the projection.
Where the data comes from: SP+ by Bill Connelly (CFB Update), last pulled Nov 2, 2026; PRIME (primecfb.com), updated Nov 9, 2026; Elo from CollegeFootballData.com, games through Nov 7, 2026.
Opponent-adjustedEven 8–8
Who's better once you adjust for the schedule?
Georgia Tech's offense ranks 84th in adjusted EPA per play, and the Clemson defense it faces ranks 39th in EPA per play allowed. Clemson's offense ranks 123rd against Georgia Tech's 119th-ranked defense. Neither side of the ball has a clear edge. The biggest edge on the board is Clemson's backs in the open field: 29th in adjusted open-field yards per carry, against Georgia Tech's 105th-ranked defense. That's a mismatch.
The same efficiency numbers, adjusted for the offenses and defenses each team has faced (CollegeFootballData.com). A good number against a soft schedule shrinks; one against a hard schedule grows.
Where the data comes from: CollegeFootballData.com advanced stats, games through Nov 7, 2026.
EPAEven 4–4
Who's more efficient, Georgia Tech or Clemson?
Georgia Tech is better running (53rd in EPA per rush) than throwing (97th). Clemson's run defense ranks 81st, so that's an edge. Clemson is better running (62nd in EPA per rush) than throwing (128th). Georgia Tech's run defense ranks 123rd, so that's a mismatch.
Expected points added per play, from CollegeFootballData.com. EPA measures how much each play changes the points a team can expect from the drive. Zero is break-even; +0.20 is very good. Not adjusted for opponents.
Where the data comes from: CollegeFootballData.com advanced stats, games through Nov 7, 2026.
ScoringEven 1–1
Who scores more, Georgia Tech or Clemson?
Georgia Tech is outscored by 8.3 a game, and Clemson by 2.0. Georgia Tech's offense ranks 97th in scoring, and the Clemson defense it faces ranks 40th in points allowed. Clemson's offense ranks 105th against Georgia Tech's 121st-ranked defense. Neither side of the ball has a clear edge.
Per game, FBS opponents only.
Where the data comes from: play-by-play from CollegeFootballData.com (the public cfbfastR files), games through Nov 7, 2026.
OffenseGeorgia Tech 10–2
Which offense has the edge?
Georgia Tech's best matchup is big plays: their offense ranks 34th in explosive play rate, and Clemson's defense ranks 80th in explosive plays allowed. Clemson's best matchup is their run game: their offense ranks 77th in yards per carry, and Georgia Tech's defense ranks 125th in yards per carry allowed.
Per game and per play, from play-by-play.
Where the data comes from: play-by-play from CollegeFootballData.com (the public cfbfastR files), games through Nov 7, 2026.
DefenseClemson 10–1
Which defense has the edge?
Georgia Tech's defense is best placed to get off the field on third down: it ranks 95th in 3rd down conversions allowed, and Clemson's offense is bottom-20 in 3rd down conversion rate (135th). Clemson's defense is best placed to get off the field on third down: it ranks 21st in 3rd down conversions allowed, and Georgia Tech's offense is bottom-20 in 3rd down conversion rate (137th). That's a mismatch.
What opponents managed against them.
Where the data comes from: play-by-play from CollegeFootballData.com (the public cfbfastR files), games through Nov 7, 2026.
Up frontEven 6–6
Who wins up front?
They split these evenly, 6 each. The biggest gap is second-level yards per carry, where Georgia Tech ranks 41st and Clemson 103rd.
The lines. Big Uglies is our rating for each offensive line and each defensive front: adjusted line yards (30%), stuff rate (20%), power success (15%), sack rate (20%) and front-seven havoc (15%), against every FBS team. 50 is average, and every 10 points is a standard deviation. Line stats from CollegeFootballData.com, garbage time out.
Where the data comes from: play-by-play from CollegeFootballData.com (the public cfbfastR files), games through Nov 7, 2026.
TurnoversClemson 3–2
Who wins the turnover battle?
Clemson is 0.0 in turnover margin a game and Georgia Tech is −0.6. At about five points a turnover, that's roughly a 3-point edge for Clemson. Turnover margin rarely holds from one month to the next, so don't count on it.
Per game, from play-by-play.
Where the data comes from: play-by-play from CollegeFootballData.com (the public cfbfastR files), games through Nov 7, 2026.
TalentClemson 9–2
Which team has more talent?
Clemson has the more talented roster (16th in the 247Sports talent composite; Georgia Tech is 34th). But Georgia Tech plays further above their talent: −6.7 points of SP+ beyond what their roster predicts, to Clemson's −7.9.
247Sports team talent composite and 2026 transfer portal class. Star counts cover only the players 247Sports rates, not walk-ons, so they add up to less than the full roster. Ranks are out of all 138 FBS teams.
Where the data comes from: 247Sports, preseason; 247Sports talent composite against SP+ (last pulled Nov 2, 2026); CollegeFootballData.com returning production, preseason; 247Sports recruiting rankings, via CollegeFootballData.com.
MoneyClemson 3–0
Which roster costs more?
Clemson's roster is valued at $25.6M, Georgia Tech's at $20.1M. Clemson also plays better per dollar: −5.8 points of SP+ above what their payroll predicts, to −6.4 for Georgia Tech.
NIL roster value from The NIL Standard (power-conference teams plus Boise State and Oregon State). Ranks are out of 70 teams with a valuation.
Where the data comes from: The NIL Standard, preseason estimates; The NIL Standard's preseason roster values against this season's results.
RECEIPTSClemson 4–1
Where did each team's wins come from?
Georgia Tech is −2.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is luck (−2.0). Clemson is +1.5 wins against a .500 team; the biggest piece is roster (+1.5). Georgia Tech's record is 2.0 wins worse than their play on bad luck, so they're better than the record says.
Where the wins came from. Every team starts as a .500 team. Then each win (or loss) goes to the schedule, the roster, the coaching or luck, and the four add up to the real record. Wins above or below a .500 team.
Where the data comes from: our split of every game result, games through Nov 7, 2026, using SP+ (last pulled Nov 2, 2026), the 247Sports talent composite and CollegeFootballData.com returning production.
The trip
How far is Georgia Tech traveling?
It's Georgia Tech's 4th road trip of the season. Counting this one, they'll have traveled 6,156 miles, there and back, 58th of 138 in FBS.
The transitive property
The shortest chain of real results this season that “proves” each team wins.
Georgia Tech wins
28–25Week 6
41–3Week 10
31–10Week 9
25–20Week 6
20–16Week 8
Georgia Tech beat Duke 28–25 in Week 6. Duke beat NC State 41–3 in Week 10. NC State beat California 31–10 in Week 9. California beat Virginia Tech 25–20 in Week 6. Virginia Tech beat Clemson 20–16 in Week 8.Clemson wins
36–24Week 9
31–24Week 10
49–27Week 8Clemson beat Florida State 36–24 in Week 9. Florida State beat Boston College 31–24 in Week 10. Boston College beat Georgia Tech 49–27 in Week 8.Each arrow in a chain is a win, with the score and the week. At a neutral site, both teams travel.
Where the data comes from: CollegeFootballData.com schedules and results, games through Nov 7, 2026. Miles as the crow flies, campus to stadium.
FAQ
Georgia Tech at Clemson: questions people ask
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson prediction: who will win?
The numbers pick Clemson, 79% chance to win. SP+ and PRIME favor the same team. Clemson's best matchup is their 3rd down defense, 21st in 3rd downs allowed, against Georgia Tech's 3rd down offense at 137th.
Where can I watch Georgia Tech vs. Clemson, and what time is it?
Sat, Nov 14, 12:30 PM ET at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC). It's on CW.
What's the projected score of Georgia Tech vs. Clemson?
SP+ projects Clemson 29–20. That's from this season's SP+ offense, defense and special teams ratings, with home field worth 2.5 points.
What's the line for Georgia Tech at Clemson?
DraftKings has Clemson −13.5, total 47.5. The numbers pick winners, not bets.
What's the Georgia Tech vs. Clemson series history?
Georgia Tech leads 52–34–2. Last meeting: Georgia Tech won 24–21 in 2025.
Who are the players to watch in Georgia Tech vs. Clemson?
Georgia Tech: Alberto Mendoza (1,943 passing yards), Justice Haynes (635 rushing yards) and Jordan Allen (576 receiving yards). Clemson: Tait Reynolds (1,448 passing yards), Gideon Davidson (528 rushing yards) and Bryant Wesco Jr. (511 receiving yards). Season totals through Nov 7, 2026.
Who are the quarterbacks in Georgia Tech at Clemson?
Georgia Tech's is Alberto Mendoza (1,943 passing yards this season); Clemson's is Tait Reynolds (1,448 passing yards this season).
Keep going
- Georgia Tech: every stat, rank and the schedule
- Clemson: every stat, rank and the schedule
- Florida State at Pittsburgh: the numbers' pick
- Louisville at North Carolina: the numbers' pick
- Stanford at Virginia Tech: the numbers' pick
- Wake Forest at SMU: the numbers' pick
- Every Week 11 pick
- The ACC: standings, stats and rankings
- Compare any two teams in the Head-to-Head Matchup Builder
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Numbers through the games of Nov 7, 2026. SP+ as of Nov 2, 2026. Updated every week.
Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.
Projected vs. what happened
Projected score: SP+, from before kickoff. "Expected" in the game numbers is the average of the offense's numbers and the defense's numbers allowed, in their games before this week. An edge held when the game went the way it pointed.
The pregame preview
What we published before kickoff: the pick, the matchups and every stat as it stood going in.
How we picked it
How we picked it
Three ratings look at a team in three different ways. The numbers' pick is the team they favor on average.
Where the game is won
Where the game is won
Each row puts one team's unit against the unit it faces, by national rank out of all FBS teams. An edge is a gap of 25 spots or more.
Recent form
Each team's last five games before this one, most recent first.
Injuries and availability
Statuses come from the conference availability reports and team news, as of the date shown. "Hasn't played" means a regular (the main passer, a quarter of the carries or 15% of the catches) with no pass, carry or catch in his team's last two games, from the play-by-play. That can be an injury, a benching or a suspension. Linemen and defenders don't show up in that check.
The teams in charts
The players in charts
FAQ
Keep going
Ratings: SP+ via CFB Update; PRIME via primecfb.com. Box and play stats computed from CollegeFootballData.com play data (via the public cfbfastR files), FBS games only for scoring. Rushing yards here exclude sacks, so they run higher than official totals. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams.